Virginia Tech vs Miami Prediction College Football Picks 9/27/24

Miami Hurricanes Betting Preview

The Miami Hurricanes beat Ball State and South Florida, and they play California next. The Miami Hurricanes haven’t started 5-0 since the 2017 season. Cam Ward is completing 72.4 percent of his passes for 1,439 yards, 14 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Xavier Restrepo and Isaiah Horton have combined for 640 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Elijah Arroyo has 9 receptions.

The Miami Hurricanes ground game is averaging 200 yards per contest, and Jordan Lyle leads the way with 233 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 10.3 points and 232.8 yards per game. Francisco Mauigoa leads the Miami Hurricanes with 28 tackles, Tyler Baron has 4.5 sacks and Mishael Powell has 2 interceptions.

Why the Miami Hurricanes will win

• Miami (FL) has won each of its last six September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Virginia Tech has lost eight of its last 10 games against AP-ranked teams.
• Miami (FL) has covered the spread in four of its last five games as a favorite.
• Virginia Tech has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five road games in September.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Miami (FL)'s last four games as a home favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Virginia Tech's last four September games against AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Miami (FL) ranks 2nd among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (405.0).
• Miami (FL) ranks 3rd among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (14.8).
• Virginia Tech ranks T14th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (21.0).
• Virginia Tech ranks T112th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (8.5).

Virginia Tech vs Miami Prediction

The Virginia Tech Hokies aren't the physical, hard-nosed team we're used to seeing, as the offense lacks explosiveness and the defense can't stop the run. Virginia Tech is 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS on the season despite being favorites in every game. The Miami Hurricanes are looking more and more like one of the best teams in the country, and I'm just not running to the window to step in front of them. If the form of both sides holds true in this contest, Miami should win comfortably. I'll lay the points with the Canes as continue to look like a legit title contender.