Troy vs Iowa Prediction College Football Picks 9/14/24

Iowa (1-1) vs Troy (0-2)

Game Info: Saturday, September 14, 2024 at 4:00 pm (Kinnick Stadium)

Betting Odds: Iowa -22.5 / Troy +22.5 --- Over/Under: 40.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Troy Trojans and Iowa Hawkeyes meet Saturday in Week 3 college football action at Kinnick Stadium. Here’s a Troy vs Iowa Prediction. This article will include a Troy vs Iowa Pick.

Troy Trojans Betting Preview

The Troy Trojans lost to Nevada and Memphis, and they play Florida A&M next. The Troy Trojans look to avoid their first 0-3 start since the 2014 season. Goose Crowder is completing 67.6 percent of his passes for 237 yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Devonte Ross and Peyton Higgins have combined for 220 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Zeriah Beason has 6 receptions.

The Troy Trojans ground game is averaging 146 yards per contest, and Damien Taylor leads the way with 136 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Troy is allowing 33 points and 382.5 yards per game. Brendan Jackson leads the Troy Trojans with 16 tackles, Damaje Yancey has 2 pass deflections and LJ Green has 1 pass deflection.

Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Preview

The Iowa Hawkeyes beat Illinois State, lost to Iowa State, and play Minnesota next. The Iowa Hawkeyes have won 7 of their last 9 home games. Cade McNamara is completing 56.7 percent of his passes for 350 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Jacob Gill and Reece Vander Zee have combined for 169 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Luke Lachey has 6 receptions.

The Iowa Hawkeyes ground game is averaging 222.5 yards per contest, and Kaleb Johnson leads the way with 306 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Iowa is allowing 10 points and 275 yards per game. Jay Higgins leads the Iowa Hawkeyes with 18 tackles, Aaron Graves has 3 sacks and Jermari Harris has 1 interception.

Why the Iowa Hawkeyes will win

Iowa has won 14 of its last 16 games against non-conference opponents at Kinnick Stadium.
Troy has lost each of its last three games.
Troy has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games in September.
Iowa has covered the spread in three of its last four September games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

Each of Troy's last four games in September has gone UNDER the total points line.
Each of Iowa's last three home games against non-conference opponents has gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

Iowa ranks T1st among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
Iowa ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 win percentage this season (1.000).

Troy vs Iowa Prediction

The Iowa Hawkeyes are obviously the more talented team at home, so we expected a big line. The problem is are we sure Iowa can score 22 points, let alone cover a 22.5-point line? Iowa is terrific defensively but still has major issues on offense, pretty much what happened last year. Iowa is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games as a double-digit favorite. Two of those failed covers were outright losses. The Troy Trojans have issues of their own and lost to Nevada as a 7.5-point favorite. I'm still not laying this many points with an Iowa team that couldn't score against me and 10 random people who are going to read this article. Give me Troy and the points.