New Mexico State vs Fresno State Prediction College Football Picks 9/14/24

The New Mexico State Aggies and the Fresno State Bulldogs meet in week 3 college football action from Valley Children’s Stadium on Saturday night. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New Mexico State vs. Fresno State prediction.

New Mexico State Recap

The New Mexico State Aggies come into this one looking to bounce back after a heartbreaking 30-24 loss at the hands of Liberty in their last game. After this one, New Mexico will head out on the road to take on Sam Houston State.

Aggies Competitive In Loss

Parker Awad has thrown for 195 yards, 2 touchdowns, and an INT on 35% passing while Seth McGowan leads the Aggies with 153 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns and Mike Washington has 111 rushing yards as well on the year. Monte Watkins has a team-high 64 receiving yards with a touchdown while PJ Johnson III has 3 grabs for 57 yards and Kordell David has a team-high 4 receptions this season. On defense, Tyler Martinez and Tayden Barnes each have a team-high 13 total tackles while Buddha Peleti has a team-high 1.5 sacks and Barnes has an interception as well for the Aggies’ defensive unit.

Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win

• New Mexico State has won four of its last five games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• New Mexico State has covered the spread in each of its last seven games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.

Fresno State Recap

The Fresno State Bulldogs come into this game looking to build on their first win of the season after a 46-30 win over Sacramento State last time out. After this game, the Bulldogs will head out on the road to square off against the Lobos of New Mexico.

Bulldogs Trying To Build Momentum

Mikey Keene has thrown for 593 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions on 64.8% passing while Malik Sherrod has a team-high 78 rushing yards and a pair of rushing TDs. Mac Dalena has a team-high 302 receiving yards and a touchdown with a team-high 13 grabs while Jalen Moss has 11 receptions for 154 yards this season. Tuasivi Nomura has a team-high 17 total tackles while Cam Lockridge and Camryn Bracha each have an interception. Ezra Christensen also has a sack for the Fresno State defense as well on the year.

Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win

• New Mexico State has lost each of its last eight road openers.
• Fresno State has won each of its last six games in September.
• Fresno State has covered the spread in four of its last five games against non-conference opponents.
• New Mexico State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five road openers.

New Mexico State vs. Fresno State Prediction

I’m with Fresno State here. I don’t love the number but I’m not getting on New Mexico State here. I just think the Bulldogs are the better team by a mile on both sides of the ball and while New Mexico State kept it close against Liberty, I think that game was more about Liberty shooting themselves in the foot than it was about the Aggies looking good. I think Fresno State comes out with a purpose and gets it done here. Give me the Bulldogs.