New Mexico vs Auburn Prediction College Football Picks 9/14/24

The New Mexico Lobos and Auburn Tigers meet Saturday in week 3 college football action at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Here’s a New Mexico vs Auburn Prediction. This article will include a New Mexico vs Auburn Pick.

New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview

The New Mexico Lobos lost to Montana State and Arizona, and they play Fresno State next. New Mexico hopes to avoid its first 0-3 start since 2020. Devon Dampier is completing 61.8 percent of his passes for 432 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Luke Wysong and Trace Bruckler have combined for 281 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Ryan Davis has 6 receptions. The New Mexico Lobos ground game is averaging 181 yards per contest, and Dampier leads the way with 164 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing 48 points and 597 yards per game. Noah Avinger leads the New Mexico Lobos with 20 tackles, Christian Ellis has 8 sacks and Bryson Taylor has 2 pass deflections.

Auburn Tigers Betting Preview

The Auburn Tigers beat Alabama A&M, lost to California, and play Arkansas next. Auburn has lost 5 of its last 7 home games. Payton Thorne is completing 56.3 percent of his passes for 487 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Cam Coleman and KeAndre Lambert-Smith have combined for 225 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Malcolm Simmons has 4 receptions. The Auburn Tigers ground game is averaging 149 yards per contest, and Jarquez Hunter leads the way with 121 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Auburn is allowing 12 points and 286 yards per game. Jalen McLeod leads the Auburn Tigers with 10 tackles, Keldric Faulk has 3 sacks and Kayin Lee has 3 pass deflections.

Why the Auburn Tigers will win

• Auburn has won 19 of its last 20 September games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• New Mexico has lost each of its last eight matches as an away underdog when playing with a rest advantage.
• New Mexico has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight matches as an away underdog when playing with a rest advantage.

Total Points Facts

• Each of New Mexico’s last four September games as an underdog has gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of Auburn’s last seven September games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Auburn ranks T7th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (29.5).
• Auburn ranks T18th among FBS teams for points per game this season (43.5).
• New Mexico ranks T38th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (12.0).

New Mexico vs Auburn Prediction

The Auburn Tigers don’t look like the team we’re used to seeing, but there’s a clear talent gap between this program and New Mexico. The New Mexico Lobos has a loss to Montana State on its resume and hasn’t played a lick of defense. Auburn is the most talented team New Mexico has seen up to this point, and the Tigers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games when favorites of 28 or more points. This game should get ugly for the Lobos. Massive number, but I’ll lay the points with Auburn regardless.