Air Force vs Baylor Prediction College Football Picks 9/14/24

Pick details

Baylor (1-1) vs Air Force (1-1)

September 14, 2024 at 07:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Baylor -15.5 / Air Force +15.5 — Over/Under: 43.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Air Force vs Baylor prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 14th at McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 3 matchup. 

Air Force Falcons Betting Preview

The Air Force Falcons are 1-1 this year after they lost to San Jose State by a score of 17-7 in their last game. Air Force really struggled to get much of anything going offensively and didn’t score in the last three quarters. The Falcons did score a touchdown to tie the game at seven in the first quarter and the defense played pretty well in the last three quarters, but you aren’t going to win many games scoring just seven points. Air Force was outgained 312-192, threw two interceptions, and went just 3-16 third down. John Busha was just 7-20 for 54 yards and two picks. 

Air Force did defeat Merrimack by a score of 21-6 in their first game, but the offense also struggled to get going in that matchup. Air Force is scoring 14.0 points per game with 62.5 passing yards and 154.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense is allowing 11.5 points per game. The Falcons are 30.3% on third down and 50% on fourth down. John Busha is completing 38.2% of his passes for 125 yards and two interceptions, while Owen Allen has rushed 20 times for 75 yards. Air Force will play against Wyoming, Navy, and New Mexico after this one.

Baylor Bears Betting Preview

The Baylor Bears are 1-1 this season after they lost to Utah by a score of 23-12 last week. Baylor played pretty strong defense in the game and pitched a shutout in the second half. The Bears trailed 23-0 late in the second quarter but only found the end zone once in the game. Baylor was outgained by a total of 292-223, had one turnover, and went 4-16 on third down in the loss. Dequan Finn threw for 115 yards and one touchdown, while Dawson Pendergrass rushed for 69 yards on nine carries. 

Baylor did defeat Tarleton State by a score of 45-3 in their first game, but you always have to take FCS games with a grain of salt. Baylor is scoring 34.5 points per game with 196.5 passing yards and 136 rushing yards per game, while the defense is allowing 13 points per game this year. The Bears are 45.2% on third-down conversions and 50% on fourth-down this season. Dequan Finn is completing 53.5% of his passes for 307 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Josh Cameron has caught three passes for 73 yards and a score. 

Air Force vs Baylor Prediction 

Both teams are coming off of a loss last week, but Baylor has to be feeling decent after outscoring Utah 12-0 to finish the game. Air Force looked completely lost on the offensive side of the ball and the quarterback looked very bad, so Baylor should be able to just sell out against the triple option. This is a great opportunity for the Bears to bounce back against a lesser opponent and I expect them to win this game going away. Take Baylor here. 

David Racey's Pick: Baylor -15.5

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