Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction 5/27/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Phoenix Mercury and the New York Liberty meet Wednesday in WNBA action from the Barclays Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty prediction.

Matchup History

The Phoenix Mercury won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on September 19th, 2025 by a final score of 79-73 to bounce the New York Liberty from the playoffs.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to shake off an 82-80 loss at the hands of the Atlanta Dream last time out to sit at 2-5 this season. After this game, the Mercury will have their rematch with New York before heading home for a game against Minnesota.

Mercury Drop 3 Straight And 5 Of 6

Going into the matchup with the Dream,Kahleah Copper leads the Mercury in scoring with 17.8 PPG along with 2.6 APG while Alyssa Thomas has 16.6 PPG with 7.2 RPG and a team-high 8.4 APG to lead the Mercury in assists this season. Jovana Nogic has 15.4 PPG and DeWanna Bonner has 11 PPG with 7.3 RPG this season. Natasha Mack has 10.4 PPG with 8.6 RPG to lead the Mercury in rebounding and to cap off the scoring in double figures for Phoenix up to this point in the year. 

New York Liberty Recap

The New York Liberty come into this game looking to rebound from a shocking 81-74 loss at the hands of the Portland Fire to fall to 3-4 this season. After this game, the Liberty will have the rematch against the Mercury before welcoming the Toronto Tempo to town.

Liberty Lose 3 In A Row As Well

Entering the game against Portland, Breanna Stewart has 22 PPG along with 9 RPG while Marine Johanes has 12.6 PPG and 3.2 RPG and 4.2 APG. Jonquel Jones has 12.4 PPG with 7.4 RPG and Pauline Astier has 14.8 PPG with 4 RPG and 3.6 APG. Rebekah Gardner has 10.4 PPG with 3.2 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Liberty this season.

Phoenix Mercury @ New York Liberty Betting Trends: May 27, 2026

Why the New York Liberty will win

• The Liberty have won 16 of their last 18 home games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mercury have lost each of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games against teams that held a losing record.
• The favorites have covered the spread in five of the last six games between the Liberty and Mercury.

Why the Phoenix Mercury will win

• The Mercury have won each of their last seven night games against Liberty teams that held a losing record.
• The Liberty have lost each of their last four games as home favorites against Western Conference opponents.
• The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 13 home games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the Liberty’s last four games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Liberty’s last seven home games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Mercury’s last seven night games have gone OVER the total points line.

New York Liberty Player Facts

• Marine Johannes is the only player in the league to have made 5+ threes in consecutive games this season.
• Breanna Stewart ranks T1st in the league for points in the paint (84) this season.

Phoenix Mercury Player Facts

• Alyssa Thomas has recorded 3+ assists in 73 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Jovana Nogic has hit 2+ three-pointers in four consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The New York Liberty rank 14th for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (9.9).
• The New York Liberty rank 1st for free throw percentage this season (85.6%).
• The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (10.1).
• The Phoenix Mercury rank 1st for free throws made per game this season (21.4).

Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty Prediction

I’m on the Liberty here. The Mercury were in a similar spot on opening night with a finals revenge spot against the Aces and now it’s the Liberty’s turn to avenge their playoff defeat. I also think that this three-game slide’s a bit of a wakeup call for the Liberty who had their hiccups at times last year too but I think they shake it off and get the win and cover at home here. Give me New York.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: New York -5.5