Las Vegas Aces vs Portland Fire Prediction 7/9/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Las Vegas Aces and the Portland Fire meet Thursday in WNBA action from the Moda Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Las Vegas Aces vs. Portland Fire prediction.

Matchup History

The Las Vegas Aces won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on June 11th, 2026, by a final score of 105-89. 

Las Vegas Aces Recap

The Las Vegas Aces come into this game looking to bounce back from their 84-68 loss at the hands of Indiana last time out to sit at 15-7 this season. After this game, the Aces will head home for a game against the Phoenix Mercury. 

Aces Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

A’Ja Wilson leads the Aces in scoring with 25.7 PPG along with 9.4 RPG and 2.9 APG while NaLyssa Smith’s added 11.9 PPG with 6.4 RPG. Chelsea Gray’s added 12.6 PPG with 7.4 APG to lead the Aces in assists and Jackie Young also has 16.5 PPG with 4.7 RPG and 6.7 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for the Aces up to this point in the season.

Portland Fire Recap

The Portland Fire come into this game looking to add on to their 77-72 win over Seattle last time out to sit at 9-12 this season. After this game, the Fire willl head on the road for a game against the Atlanta Dream.

Fire Snap Three-Game Slide

Carla Leite has 16.3 PPG with 4 APG while Bridget Carleton’s added 15.3 PPG with 3.4 RPG and 2.1 APG.  Sug Sutton also has 11.3 PPG with 5.7 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Portland so far this season. Sarah Ashlee Barker has 9.1 PPG with 4.8 RPG while Emily Engstler has 8.6 PPG with 3.4 RPG and Megan Gustafson has 9 PPG. Luisa Geiselsoder has 6 PPG with 3.9 RPG as well this season.

Las Vegas Aces @ Portland Fire Betting Trends: July 9, 2026

Why the Portland Fire will win

• The home team has won six of the Fire’s last seven games.
• The Aces have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as road favorites following a home loss.
• The Fire have covered the spread in three of their last four games against Western Conference opponents.

Why the Las Vegas Aces will win

• The Aces have won each of their last 13 night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Fire have lost five of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Aces have covered the spread in each of their last five road games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The Fire have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Six of the Aces’ last seven games as road favorites following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the Fire’s last six games have gone OVER the total points line.

Portland Fire Player Facts

• Emily Engstler has recorded 2+ steals in four consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Bridget Carleton has the worst plus minus (-119) of any player in the league this season.

Las Vegas Aces Player Facts

• Chelsea Gray ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FT% (94.6%) this season.
• NaLyssa Smith ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (65.8%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Portland Fire rank 14th for assist to turnover ratio this season (1.3).
• The Portland Fire rank 14th for opponent assist to turnover ratio this season (1.6).
• The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for assists per game this season (22.2).
• The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for opponent blocks per game this season (2.5).

Las Vegas Aces vs. Portland Fire Prediction

I’m on the over here. The Fire have found themselves in a lot of high-scoring games against the elite teams in the WNBA this season, and I look for more of the same in this game. The Aces for my money are the most complete team in the WNBA this season, and I think this Fire team is going to be hard pressed to slow them down, but I also think the Fire can get in on the scoring here and get us to the over when all is said and done. Give me the over.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 174.5