Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction 10/4/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Golden State Valkyries and the Las Vegas Aces meet Sunday in WNBA action from the Chase Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces prediction.

Matchup History

The Las Vegas Aces won the most recent meeting between these two teams by a final score of 92-73, back on June 21st, 2026, making it 5 straight wins for the Aces in this head-to-head matchup.

Golden State Valkyries Recap

The Golden State Valkyries come into this game off of their win over the Dallas Wings in game three to advance from the dogfight of a series.

Valkyries Looking To Defend Home Court

Gabby Williams leads the Valkyries in scoring with 14.3 PPG along with 3.3 RPG and 2.2 APG while Janelle Salaun has added 12.9 PPG with 3.9 RPG so far this season. Veronica Burton is the other double-digit scorer for Golden State, averaging 12.3 PPG along with 3.6 RPG and a team-high 5.8 APG to lead the Valkyries in assists and cap off the group of double-digit scorers up to this point in the year. Tiffany Hayes adds 8.9 PPG, Cecilia Zandalasini chips in 8.8 PPG, Kayla Thornton has 7.8 PPG with 4.5 RPG, and Kiah Stokes leads Golden State on the glass with a team-high 5.4 RPG.

Las Vegas Aces Recap

The Las Vegas Aces come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Indiana Fever in the all-deciding game three last time out.

Aces Looking To Keep Up Title Defense

A’ja Wilson leads the Aces in scoring with 26.0 PPG along with a team-high 9.4 RPG and 3.2 APG so far this season. Three more Aces players average double figures in scoring as well this season including Jackie Young who has 18.9 PPG with 4.4 RPG and 6.6 APG, Chelsea Gray with 12.0 PPG, 3.1 RPG, and a team-high 6.8 APG, and NaLyssa Smith who adds 11.7 PPG with 6.4 RPG to cap off the primary double-digit scorers for Las Vegas up to this point in the year. Jewell Loyd also has 7.7 PPG with 2.3 RPG for the Aces this season.

Las Vegas Aces @ Golden State Valkyries Betting Trends: October 4, 2026

Why the Golden State Valkyries will win

• The Valkyries have won six of their last seven games as underdogs.
• The Aces have lost four of their last five day games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Aces have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four day games following a home win.
• The home team has covered the spread in six of the Valkyries’ last seven games.

Why the Las Vegas Aces will win

• The favorites have won each of the Aces’ last 10 games.
• The Valkyries have lost each of their last five day games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The favorites have covered the spread in seven of the Aces’ last eight games.
• The Valkyries have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five day games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Aces’ last nine playoff games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Valkyries’ last four day games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Golden State Valkyries Player Facts

• Kiah Stokes has recorded 21 games with 1+ assists and zero turnovers this season – most of any player in the league.
• Veronica Burton has recorded nine games with 3+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.

Las Vegas Aces Player Facts

• A’ja Wilson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (26.2) this season.
• Jackie Young ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FT% (92.8%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Golden State Valkyries rank 14th for points per game this season (82.2).
• The Golden State Valkyries rank 1st for opponent points per game this season (75.1).
• The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for blocks per game this season (4.9).
• The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for opponent blocks per game this season (2.4).

Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces Prediction

I’m on the Aces here. I know Ballhalla is the toughest road environment for teams to walk into in the WNBA, but the Aces have owned this matchup over the years and I think that until we see otherwise you have to keep rolling with the team that’s been there and done that and for me that’s Las Vegas in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Las Vegas -1.5