Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction 8/20/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Connecticut Sun and the Las Vegas Aces meet Thursday in WNBA action from the T-Mobile Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces prediction.

Matchup History

The Las Vegas Aces won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on May 15th, 2026, by a final score of 101-94, extending their win streak into double digits against the Connecticut Sun in this head-to-head matchup.

Connecticut Sun Recap

The Connecticut Sun come into this game looking to add on to their 85-77 win over the Los Angeles Sparks last time out to sit at 9-25 this season. After this game, the Sun will take on the Sparks in a rematch on the road.

Sun Snap Two-Game Slide

Kahleah Copper leads the Mercury in scoring with 20.9 PPG while Alyssa Thomas has 14.9 PPG with 7.1 RPG and a team-high 8.3 APG to lead the Mercury in assists this season. Jovana Nogic has 10.4 PPG and DeWanna Bonner has 10.2 PPG with 5.8 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Phoenix up to this point in the year. Natasha Mack also has 8.8 PPG with 7.4 RPG as well this season to lead the Mercury in rebounding.

Las Vegas Aces Recap

The Las Vegas Aces come into this game looking to bounce back from their 97-82 loss at the hands of the Atlanta Dream last time out to sit at 24-14 this season. After this game, the Aces will take on the Toronto Tempo in a matchup on the road.

Aces Drop Back-To-Back Games

A’Ja Wilson leads the Aces in scoring with 26.8 PPG along with 9.8 RPG and 3.2 APG while NaLyssa Smith’s added 11.9 PPG with 5.9 RPG. Chelsea Gray’s added 12.6 PPG with 7.2 APG to lead the Aces in assists and Jackie Young also has 17.5 PPG with 4.4 RPG and 6.7 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for the Aces up to this point in the season.

Connecticut Sun @ Las Vegas Aces Betting Trends: August 20, 2026

Why the Las Vegas Aces will win

• The Aces have won each of their last 16 night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Sun have lost each of their last nine games against Western Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
• The Aces have covered the spread in each of their last six games against the Sun after losing as favorites.
• The Sun have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five road games.

Why the Connecticut Sun will win

• The road team has won three of the last four games between the Aces and Sun.
• The Sun have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 Thursday games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Sun’s last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Aces’ last four games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Las Vegas Aces Player Facts

• A’ja Wilson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (26.1) this season.
• Jackie Young ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FT% (93.3%) this season.

Connecticut Sun Player Facts

• Leila Lacan ranks 7th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.1) this season.
• Olivia Nelson-Ododa is one of only nine players to have made 6+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Las Vegas Aces rank 14th for offensive rebounds per game this season (7.6).
• The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for blocks per game this season (5.1).
• The Connecticut Sun rank 14th for assists per game this season (19.1).
• The Connecticut Sun rank 14th for assist to turnover ratio this season (1.3).

Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces Prediction

I’m on the Aces here. It’s a big number and the Aces haven’t looked great in their last couple of games. However, the Sun are just a mess despite a win last time out and this team is just playing out the string at this point. I’d be a lot more apt to at least give them consideration at home in their last few games in Connecticut before relocating to Houston, but on the road, against an Aces squad off of back-to-back losses, I think this is wrong place, wrong time for the Sun. Give me the Aces.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Las Vegas -14.5