May 27, 2026; Paris, France; Tommy Paul of the United States returns a shot during his match against Lorenzo Musetti of Italy on day four at Stade Roland Garros. Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images
Susan Mullane-Imagn Images

Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction 6/19/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

Pick details

ATP Queen's Prediction: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

11:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Tommy Paul -278 / Alejandro Davidovich Fokina +200

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2024 champion Tommy Paul faces Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the semifinals of the HSBC Championships at Queen’s Club in London on Thursday, June 19. Tommy has a 5-0 record against the Spaniard and after a one year absence, is aiming to return to the finals again and defend his crown. Will Paul extend his perfect record against Davidovich Fokina. Here’s our Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina prediction. This article will also include a Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina pick.

Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Preview

Tommy Paul is coming off a straight sets against Botic van de Zandschulp in the quarterfinals of Queen’s Club. Both players broke serve twice in the opening set. Tommy had two set points at 5-4 up on the Dutchman’s serve, but could not convert. Eventually, it took a tiebreak to decide it, and Paul recovered from a 0-3 start to win it 7-5. In the second set, the American was much more composed and broke serve twice to round off a 7-6, 6-3 victory in under two hours.

Paul hit 7 aces and 2 double faults in the victory He landed 65% of first serves in play and won 77% of first serve points (30/39). Paul won 48% of second serve points (10/21) and faced just two break points in the match. Paul improves to 28-11 for the season and is 7-1 in main draw matches at Queen’s Club.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina saw off Corentin Moutet in straight sets to reach the Queen’s Club semifinals for the first time. The match took 19 games to decide. Davidovich Fokina took the first set 6-4 with just a solitary break of serve. The Spaniard dominated the second set, breaking Moutet’s serve three times to cap off a 6-4, 6-3 win.

In the victory, Davidovich Fokina landed 74% of first serves in play and won 69% of first serve points (31/45). He won 56% of second serve points (9/16) and saved five of six break points. In the first round, Davidovich Fokina beat Cameron Norrie. He has not lost a set this week.

Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Head-To-Head
this year

Paul and Davidovich Fokina have met five times before this. Paul leads the head-to-head 5-0. Four of those matches were at Grand Slam level. Paul won their only match this year at the Australian Open via retirement. This is the first time they are meeting on grass.

Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction

It’s tough to imagine any other result than Tommy Paul winning this match outright. He enjoys his trips to Queen’s Club. That’s now seven wins in a row and he is hunting a second title. Moreover, he’s 5-0 in the head-to-head against Davidovich Fokina. Paul makes things look uncomplicated on the court. His movement, shot tolerance and his in-game tactics have made him a very dependable performer on grass in recent years.

Nur Said's Pick: Paul in three sets

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