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Novak Djokovic vs Jakub Mensik Prediction 3/30/25 Miami Tennis Picks

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ATP Miami Prediction: Novak Djokovic vs Jakub Mensik

March 30, 2025 at 03:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Novak Djokovic -400 / Jakub Mensik +300

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Novak Djokovic and Jakub Mensik clash in the final of the 2025 ATP Miami Open on Sunday, March 30, 2025. Here’s our Novak Djokovic vs Jakub Mensik prediction. This preview will also include a Novak Djokovic vs Jakub Mensik pick.

 

Novak Djokovic Preview

Novak Djokovic will have his first shot at a 100th career title this Sunday at the Miami Open. He reached his first final in Florida since 2016 (the year he won his sixth there) after another straight sets win over Grigor Dimitrov. The match took 17 games to decide. Djokovic took just 70 minutes to record a 6-2, 6-3 win. In the victory, the Serbian hit 10 winners and 5 unforced errors, including five aces and one double fault. Djokovic landed 87% of first serves in play and won 79% of first serve points (31/39). The fourth seed won 33% of second serve points (2/6) and saved one of two breakpoints. Djokovic compiled 49% of return points in the match (21/43) and broke Dimitrov four times. If he wins the title, he will be the third man to win a century or more trophies on Tour. At 37, he is already the oldest Masters 1000 finalist in history.

 

Jakub Mensik Preview

Jakub Mensik can also aim for a slice of history on Sunday after the Czech reached his first Masters 1000 final of his young career. The 19-year-old, who fell in the qualifying rounds in Miami last season, edged third seed Taylor Fritz in three sets in the semifinals. The match took 36 games to decide. Mensik 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 in two hours and 25 minutes. Mensik hammered 25 aces and only four double faults en route to victory. He landed 73% of first serves in play and won 82% of first serve points (61/74). Mensik won 52% of second serve points (14/27) and saved one of 12 breakpoints. The World No. 54 won 31% of return points (35/114) and did not convert any of his two breakpoints.

 

Novak Djokovic vs Jakub Mensik Head-To-Head

• Djokovic leads Mensik 1-0 in the head-to-head.

• Djokovic won their only meeting in three sets at the 2024 Shanghai Masters quarterfinals.

 

Novak Djokovic vs Jakub Mensik Prediction

Mensik regards Djokovic as his childhood idol while growing up, but he won’t lose focus on marveling at Djokovic’s resurgent fortnight in Miami and what is in store for the Serbian. Djokovic can win his 100th career title, a rare feat in men’s tennis that only two players in history have achieved. So, that’s enough motivation to get Djokovic pumped up for the occasion. Mensik has an incredible serve that will certainly keep Djokovic at arm’s length and enable him to rack up many cheap points in the match, but his return doesn’t quite stack up to that of Djokovic. And even at 37, Djokovic’s movement remains top tier. I expect Mensik to put in a performance of his life, but Djokovic knows he is running out of chances to get that triple-digit number in career titles. I’m backing the former World No. 1 to win his 7th Miami title.

Nur Said's Pick: Novak Djokovic in three sets

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