Novak Djokovic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction 3/23/25 Miami Tennis Picks

Novak Djokovic and Camilo Ugo Carabelli clash in the third round of the 2025 ATP Miami Open on Sunday, March 23, 2025. Here’s our Novak Djokovic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli prediction. This preview will also include a Novak Djokovic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli pick.

Novak Djokovic Preview

Novak Djokovic earned his first win in six years at the Miami Open. The fourth seed beat Australia’s Rinky Hijikata for the second time this season to reach the third round. Djokovic prevailed 6-0, 7-6 in an hour and 21 minutes.

In the victory, Djokovic hit 12 winners and seven unforced errors. That tally included nine aces and one double fault. Djokovic landed 80% of first serves in play and won 85% of first serve points (33/39). The Serbian won 80% of second serve points (8/10) and saved both break points he faced.

Djokovic tallied 43% of return points (27/63) and broke Hijikata three times in the match. This was Djokovic’s first win since beating Carlos Alcaraz in the quarterfinals of the Australian Open.

He was on a three-match losing streak, but now improves to 8-4 for the season. Djokovic has won the Miami Open six times in his career, but hasn’t won at the new venue in the Hard Rock Stadium.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli Preview

Camilo Ugo Carabelli entered the Miami Open main draw as a lucky loser. He scored a massive upset in the second round by defeating 32nd seed Alex Michelsen in three sets. The match took 34 games to decide and lasted two hours and 33 minutes.

In the victory, Ugo Carabelli hit 27 winners and 35 unforced errors, including three aces and one double fault. Ugo Carabelli landed 67% of first serves in play and won 71% of first serve points (53/75). The Argentinian won 57% of second serve points (21/37) and saved four of five break points in the match.

Ugo Carabelli compiled 33% of return points (32/96) and took all three break points on the Michelsen serve. This is Ugo Carabelli’s second hard-court tournament of the season and has reached his first Masters 1000 third round.

Novak Djokovic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Head-To-Head

• Djokovic and Ugo Carabelli have not played on the ATP Tour. This will be their first meeting.

Novak Djokovic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction

Djokovic should like his chances of potentially clinching that 100th career title as the seeds continue to fall. He’s still not going to lose focus of the bigger picture, which is to win his next match, and not think far ahead. The way his season has panned out, it’s never a guarantee he wins so routinely these days. But historically, there’s never been a player who has risen to the occasion quite like Djokovic on the big stage. And if he desperately wants it, then there is no stopping him.