Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Australian Open Prediction 2/1/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic will clash in the final of the 2026 Australian Open. The match is scheduled for Sunday, February 1. Here’s our Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic prediction. This preview will also include a Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic pick.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Preview

Carlos Alcaraz battled cramps as he survived a five-set epic against Alexander Zverev in the semifinals. The Spaniard was cruising at two sets to love, but midway through the third set, he started to experience cramps and needed a medical timeout.

Alcaraz soldiered on, but lost the third and fourth sets in tiebreaks as Zverev looked to become the first player to rally from a 0-2 sets deficit against Alcaraz and win. And the German couldn’t have gotten closer when he served for the match in the fifth set at 5-4, but he was broken back.

Alcaraz eventually prevailed 7-5 in the fifth in the longest Australian Open semifinal in history at five hours and 26 minutes. Alcaraz will contest his first final in Melbourne and will get a chance to complete at the career Grand Slam. He is a six-time major champion.

Novak Djokovic, meanwhile, defied the odds to beat two-time defending champion Jannik Sinner in his own five-set epic in the second semifinal. Djokovic dropped the first set 6-3 in 39 minutes, bu then trailed two sets to one, but still summoned the courage and grit to grind out a statement win after four hours and 12 minutes, 3-6, 6-3, 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 to reach his 11th Australian Open final.

Djokovic hit 46 winners and 42 unforced errors. That included 12 aces and 3 double faults. Djokovic landed 70% of first serves in play and won 71% of first serve points (80/112). He saved 16 of 18 break points.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Head-To-Head

Alcaraz and Djokovic have played nine times at tour level. Djokovic leads 5-4 in the head-to-head and beat Alcaraz in four sets when they met in the quarterfinals of last year’s Australian Open. However, Alcaraz won their last Grand Slam match at the 2025 US Open in straight sets.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Prediction

Djokovic has never lost an Australian Open final, holding a perfect 10-0 record in title matches at Melbourne Park. When he gets to the final Sunday, he converts it into a title win. Alcaraz knows he can chart his own history here as the youngest man to complete the career Grand Slam. Djokovic played a monstrous match against Sinner and I think we are starting to see the physical benefits of his walkover and retirement win before the semifinal. He looks fresh and extremely motivated to close this out, and after that odds-defying win against Sinner, it would be foolhardy to write him off.

Nur Said's Pick: Novak Djokovic in four sets