Carlos Alcaraz vs Damir Dzumhur Prediction 5/30/25 French Open Tennis Picks

Carlos Alcaraz and Damir Dzumhur meet in the third round of the 2025 French Open at Roland Garros. The match is scheduled for Friday, May 30. Here’s our Carlos Alcaraz vs Damir Dzumhur prediction. This preview will also include a Carlos Alcaraz vs Damir Dzumhur pick.

Carlos Alcaraz Preview

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Fabian Marozsan to reach the third round of the French Open. Alcaraz has now won his opening two main draw matches in each of his five visits to Paris at Roland Garros. The Spaniard lost a set in the match against the Hungarian, but was too strong in the end, prevailing in four sets. Alcaraz won the first set 6-1 in 27 minutes. But he got broken in the opening game of the second set. And Marozsan held on the advantage for the remainder of the set to level the match. Alcaraz went up a few gears to win the next two sets, losing a combined three games.

Alcaraz hit 41 winners and 25 unforced errors. He fired five aces and one double fault. Alcaraz landed 76% of first serves in play and won 71% of first serve points (50/70). He won 59% of second serve points (13/22) and saved one of three breakpoints. Alcaraz won his 17th match on clay this season. His only defeat was to Holger Rune in the Barcelona Open final. Alcaraz has advanced to the second week in each of the last three French Opens.

Damir Dzumhur Preview

Damir Dzumhur is unseeded and registered a shock win in the last round. The Bosnian knocked out big-serving home favorite Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in four sets. In the first set, neither player lost their serve, but it was Dzumhur who secured a couple of crucial mini breaks in the tie-break and won it.

For the first time in the match, it was Dzumhur who broke serve in the eighth game of the second set and held on his next service game to take a two-sets lead. Just when it looked like Dzumhur would coast to a straight sets victory when he led 4-2 in the third set, Mpetshi Perricard rallied to win four games in a row and force a fourth set. Dzumhur kept his calm under pressure and silenced the French crowd. He broke to love for a 4-3 lead and would not relinquish his serve.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Damir Dzumhur Head-To-Head

Alcaraz and Dzumhur have met once before. The Spaniard won the final of the 2020 Barcelona Challenger in three sets. That match was on clay.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Damir Dzumhur Prediction

Lean for the under 30.5 games here. I’m not overthinking this. Alcaraz has the tools for deep Grand Slam runs and he’s unlikely to lose too many sets or games before the second week. Dzumhur has done immense work to return to the Top 100 with some impressive results on the Challenger Tour. But against this version of Alcaraz on his favorite court, it’s next to impossible to see any other outcome but a one-sided victory.