Carlos Alcaraz vs Corentin Moutet Australian Open Prediction 1/23/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

Carlos Alcaraz and Corentin Moutet face off in the third round of the 2026 Australian Open on Friday, January 23. Here’s our Carlos Alcaraz vs Corentin Moutet prediction. This preview will also include a Carlos Alcaraz vs Corentin Moutet pick.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Corentin Moutet Preview

Carlos Alcaraz saw off Yannick Hanfmann in straight sets to reach the third round of the 2026 Australian Open. The first set lasted an hour and 19 minutes, and it was decided in a tiebreak where Alcaraz earned two mini breaks at 5-4 up to win it 7-4. Alcaraz did not drop serve in each of the next two sets and broke Hanfmann’s serve three times to wrap up a 7-6, 6-3, 6-2 victory in two hours and 46 minutes.

Alcaraz tallied 41 winners and 30 unforced errors in the match. That included 12 aces and 3 double faults. He landed 64% of first serves in play and won 69% of first serve points (49/71). Alcaraz won 60% of second serve points (24/40) and saved six of seven break points. Before this, Alcaraz had beaten Adam Walton in straight sets. Alcaraz will chase a spot in the last 16 of the Australian Open for the third year in a row.

Corentin Moutet entered this year’s Australian Open with an injury cloud over him, but has won two rounds to replicate last year’s feat. Moutet took down Tristan Schoolkate in straight sets in his opening match, saving six of eight break points. In the second round, Moutet earned a retirement win over Sebastian Korda’s conqueror, Michael Zheng. 

Moutet led by two sets to one and was a break up in the fourth set when Zheng retired with an injury. Moutet finished the match with 41 winners and 22 unforced errors. He hammered 10 aces and 5 double faults. Moutet landed 61% of first serves in play and won 72% of first serve points (33/46). He won 53% of second serve points (16/30) and saved four of seven break points. Moutet has never been to the fourth round of the Australian Open.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Corentin Moutet Head-To-Head

Alcaraz and Mouter have never met before, so this will be their first career meeting.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Corentin Moutet Prediction

I can’t see Alcaraz losing before the second week. Moutet is wily and tricky to beat as he brings variety and versatility, but that’s barely enough to keep up with the pace and energy that Alcaraz has at his disposal. Give me Alcaraz for a routine straight sets win.

Nur Said's Pick: Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets