Andrey Rublev vs Gael Monfils Prediction 4/25/25 Madrid Tennis Picks

Andrey Rublev and Gael Monfils meet in the second round of the 2025 ATP Madrid Open on Friday, April 25, 2025. Here’s our Andrey Rublev vs Gael Monfils prediction. This preview will also include an Andrey Rublev vs Gael Monfils pick.

Andrey Rublev Preview

Andrey Rublev is the No. 7 seed at the 2025 Madrid Open. Rublev received a bye in the first round. The Russian is ranked 8th in the ATP rankings. He is the defending champion of this tournament. Having reached the quarterfinals in 2022, Rublev won the event last season after dethroning Alcaraz as champion and fighting back from a set down to beat Felix Auger-Aliassime in the final.

Rublev hasn’t quite had the strongest of starts to his clay swing. He was beaten in the round of 16 at the Monte Carlo Masters by France’s rising star Arthur Fils. And this past week, he was knocked out in the same stage at the Barcelona Open by Davidovich Fokina. Rublev has posted an 11-9 record for the year and has lifted one ATP title (in the ATP 500 event in Doha).

Gael Monfils Preview

Gael Monfils is coming off a three-set win over Croatian qualifier Borna Gojo in the first round of the Madrid Open. The match took 25 games to decide. Monfils prevailed 1-6, 6-2, 6-4 in an hour and 43 minutes. In the victory, Monfils hit 15 winners and 20 unforced errors. That included six aces and four double faults. Monfils landed 65% of first serves in play and won 65% of first serve points (35/54).

The veteran Frenchman won 52% of second serve points (15/29) and saved seven of 10 breakpoints. Monfils won 38% of return points (27/72) and converted three of eight breakpoints. Monfils improves on his record in Madrid after losing in the opening round last year. But it’s been six years since he reached the third round.

Andrey Rublev vs Gael Monfils Head-To-Head

Rublev and Monfils have met four times on the ATP level. Rublev leads 3-1 and won the pair’s only clay meeting at the 2025 Monte Carlo Masters in straight sets.

Andrey Rublev vs Gael Monfils Prediction

Rublev got the better of Monfils in Monte Carlo in a match that could have stretched into a third set had Monfils converted one of four set points in the second set. That said, I still think the Frenchman is worth a shout to cover the set handicap here. Rublev has lost five of his last seven matches, including two already this clay swing. Monfils is one of the athletically gifted players on tour and is cognizant of his physical abilities on any surface. He’s fleet-footed and always comfortable on clay. Rublev, for all of his aggression and on-court outbursts, will need to put in a rare composed performance to get the job done. Monfils will demand the very best out of the defending champion, so we are likely to see three sets.

Nur Said's Pick: Monfils set handicap +1.5