Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction 4/27/25 Madrid Tennis Picks

Alexander Zverev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina meet in the third round of the 2025 ATP Madrid Open on Sunday, April 27, 2025. Here’s our Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina prediction. This preview will also include an Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina pick.

Alexander Zverev Preview

Alexander Zverev is the top seed at the Madrid Open. He eased past Spain’s Roberto Bautista Agut in his opening match. Zverev won the first set of their second-round match 6-2 in 35 minutes. He broke Bautista Agut’s serve twice.

Zverev did the same in the second set, which also lasted for 35 minutes. He finished the match with 30 winners and 18 unforced errors, including 10 aces and one double fault. Zverev landed 62% of first serves in play and won 81% of first serve points (21/26).

Zverev won 69% of second serve points (11/16) and did not face a breakpoint in the match. The World No. 2 improves to 20-7 for the season and is 9-3 on clay. He’s won his last six matches, five of which were in the title-winning week in Munich.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Preview

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina continued on his good run of form. He scored a 6-2, 6-3 win over World No. 41 Nuno Borges of Portugal in his opening match of the Madrid Open. Davidovich Fokina took 32 minutes to seal the first set, getting the insurance of a double break early on, and then breaking Borges again to win the first set 6-2.

In the second, the Portuguese man put in a fight, but that didn’t matter as Davidovich Fokina broke his serve early and did not relinquish that lead for the remainder of the match. In the victory, Davidovich Fokina tallied 12 winners and eight unforced errors, including two aces. He landed 71% of first serves in play and won 69% of first serve points (25/36). Davidovich Fokina won 67% of second serve points (10/15) and saved two of three breakpoints. He improves to 21-10 for the season and will chase a spot in the last 16 in Madrid for the second time.

Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Head-To-Head

Zverev and Davidovich Fokina have met five times on tour. Zverev leads 4-1 and won their only clay meeting at the 2021 French Open in straight sets.

Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction

I’m rolling with the favorite here, and that is Zverev. So much has been said of his underwhelming performances after the Australian Open, but he’s peaking at the perfect time with Roland Garros just around the corner (won the title in Munich and is on a six-match winning streak). Additionally, some of his close rivals are either injured or out of this tournament. Zverev also has a great track record of excelling in Madrid, with two titles from three finals, and has not lost before the round of 16 in any previous edition. 

Nur Said's Pick: Alexander Zverev in straight sets