Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry Prediction 7/24/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

Alexander Bublik faces Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the semifinals of the Kitzbuhel Open on Friday, July 24th. Defending champion Bublik has not lost a set this week and owns a 2-0 record against his next opponent. Here’s our Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry prediction. This preview will include an Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry pick.

Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry Preview

Alexander Bublik defeated Alex Molcan in straight sets to keep his title defense in Kitzbuhel alive. The match took 17 games to decide. Bublik routinely beat the Slovak 6-3, 6-2 in an hour and 9 minutes to progress.

In the victory, Bublik hammered 13 aces and committed 7 double faults. Bublik landed 62% of first serves in play and won 77% of first serve points (30/39). He won 42% of second serve points (10/24) and saved 7 out of 8 break points. Bublik won his opening match against Diaz Acosta in straight sets. He is now 7-7 on clay for the season.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry beat Ignacio Buse in straight sets to reach the Kitzbuhel semifinals for the second time. Etcheverry won the first set 6-2 in 40 minutes. He managed to break Buse’s serve twice. The Argentine briefly trailed 2-5 in the second set, but Buse failed to serve for the set at 5-3, and Etcheverry reeled off four games in a row to secure victory.

The Argentine hit 3 aces and committed 1 double fault in the win. Etcheverry landed 56% of first serves in play and won 81% of first serve points (26/32). Etcheverry won 56% of second serve points (14/25) and saved two of three break points in the match. This is Etcheverry’s first semifinal since he won the tournament in Rio de Janeiro back in February.

Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry Head-To-Head

Bublik and Etcheverry have met twice. Bublik won both meetings. The Kazakh needed three sets to beat Etcheverry on clay at the 2025 Turin Challenger.

Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry Prediction

I’ll go with baseline discipline over flair in this one. That said, I’m picking Etcheverry to end Bublik’s title run in Kitzbuhel. The head-to-head is slightly skewed if we base the outcome on that. Both meetings between them were very close. Etcheverry might have won both tiebreaks at the Australian Open, and in Turin only one break was the difference in the deciding set. Clay is still Etcheverry’s natural surface and I think he’s got the physical endurance to expose any lapses in Bublik’s game over a long match. I’ll go with the upset at +130.

Nur Said's Pick: Etcheverry in three sets