Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction 4/3/25 Houston Tennis Picks

Alex Michelsen and Adrian Mannarino Prediction clash in the round of 16 of the 2025 ATP Houston Open on Thursday, April 3, 2025. Here’s our Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino prediction. This preview will also include an Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino pick.

Alex Michelsen Preview

Alex Michelsen defeated his good friend Learner Tien 6-4, 6-2 in the opening round. The match lasted 72 minutes. In the victory, Michelsen hit 27 winners and 17 unforced errors. That included seven aces and three double faults. Michelsen landed 67% of first serves in play and won 87% of first serve points (26/30). He won 53% of second serve points (8/15) and only faced one breakpoint (0/1). Michelsen compiled 46% of return points (26/57) and converted four of eight breakpoints in the match. Michelsen is the fifth seed in Houston, making his second appearance at the event. Last year, he got knocked out in the first round, so this is already an improvement as he seeks a quarterfinal on clay.

Adrian Mannarino Preview

Adrian Mannarino shocked Yannick Hanfmann in straight sets to win his opening match in an hour and 43 minutes. The match took 22 games to decide with Mannarino advancing 7-6, 6-3. In the victory, Mannarino hammered 18 winners and 17 unforced errors, including two aces. The French lefty landed 69% of first serves in play and won 67% of first serve points (34/51).  Mannarino won 48% of second serve points (15/31) and saved a whopping nine of 10 breakpoints in the match. He tallied 40% of return points (21/52) and broke Hanfmann three times. Mannarino secured only his fourth win in a dismal season which has seen him lose 13 times. He only got into the main draw as a lucky loser. This is the first time in his career that he is playing in Houston.

Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino Head-To-Head

• Michelsen and Mannarino have played twice on the ATP level.

• The head-to-head is tied at 1-1 with both meetings taking place on grass.

• Mannarino beat Michelsen in the 2023 Newport final and the American exacted revenge a year later in Mallorca.

Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction

I’m going Michelsen here. He’s levels above Mannarino at this juncture in their careers. The Frenchman is having a disastrous season and at 36, he no longer looks spry. Clay is his worst surface and barring a miracle, Michelsen winning in straight sets is the value pick in this one.