France vs Senegal Prediction 6/16/2026 Group I Picks

In this article we will formulate a France vs Senegal prediction for this World Cup game on Tuesday, June 16th at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this World Cup matchup.

France Betting Preview

France comes into the World Cup ranked 2nd in the latest official FIFA rankings and they are coming off of a 3-1 win over Northern Ireland by a score of 3-1 in their last match. In that win, France led 1-0 at halftime and they added two more in the second half to secure the win. France recorded 27 total shots, five shots on target, and had 72% of the possession. France has played three other friendlies this year: a 2-1 loss to Ivory Coast, a 3-1 win over Colombia, and a 2-1 win over Brazil. 

France has qualified for 16 World Cups and they have won the championship in 1998 and 2018. France has played in seven straight World Cups and they have finished in the top two in four of those seven. In 2022, France defeated Australia 4-1, defeated Denmark 2-1, and lost to Tunisia 1-0 in the Group Stage. France defeated Poland, England, and Morocco in the knockout stages, but lost to Argentina in penalties in the Final. In qualifying, France finished first in their group with 16 points, which was ahead of Ukraine, Iceland, and Azerbaijan. 

Senegal Betting Preview

Senegal comes into the World Cup ranked 16th in the latest official FIFA rankings and they are coming off of a 0-0 draw with Saudi Arabia in their last match. In that draw, Senegal only had 0.41 expected goals, but they did play solid defense. Senegal recorded seven total shots, five shots on target, and had 59% of the ball possession. Senegal has played three other friendlies this year: a 3-2 loss to USA, a 3-1 win over Gambia, and a 2-0 win over Peru. 

Senegal has qualified for three World Cups and their highest finish was in the Quarter-finals, which came in 2002. Senegal has made each of the last two World Cups and they advanced to the Round of 16 in the last one. In 2022, Senegal lost to Netherlands by a score of 2-0, defeated Qatar 3-1, and defeated Ecuador 2-1 in the Group Stage, before losing to England 3-0. In qualifying, Senegal finished first in their group with 24 points, which was ahead of DR Congo, Sudan, Togo, Mauritania, and South Sudan. 

France vs Senegal Prediction 

France comes into this matchup after winning four of their last five matches and they have scored three goals in three of those wins. France is highly ranked, but they have allowed at least one goal in five straight. Senegal is 2-2-1 in their last five matches and they did beat France in the World Cup back in 2002. These are two very exciting teams to watch and I think it is going to be a wide open style of play, so I like the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 2.5