Pick details
France (3-0-0) / Paraguay (1-1-1)
05:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: France -575 / Paraguay +1800 — Over/Under: 2.5
Paraguay Preview
Paraguay finished the group phase of the World Cup with 4 points, with one win, one draw and one loss and were placed 3rd in Group D. They are coming off a 1-1 draw with Germany (won 4-3 on penalties) in the round of 32, where they had 24% possession of the ball and 7 total shots, 3 of them on target. They had 63% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.35 compared to Germany’s 1.57.
Paraguay is averaging 0.75 goals per game, while allowing 1.25 goals per game. They have a -0.5 goal differential, 0.32 average expected goals, 1.14 average expected goals conceded and -0.8 average expected goal differential. They have 35% possession of the ball and 79% save percentage, while having 2 clean sheets.
Julio Enciso, Matías Galarza, Maurício are Paraguay’s top scorers with one goal each. Julio Enciso is Paraguay’s top passer, with 2 assists.
France Preview
France finished the group phase of the World Cup with 9 points, with three wins and were placed 1st in Group I. They are coming off a 3-0 win over Sweden in the round of 32, where they had 61% possession of the ball and 25 total shots, 12 of them on target. They had 88% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 3.24 compared to Sweden’s 0.70.
France is averaging 3.25 goals per game, while allowing 0.5 goals per game. They have a +2.8 goal differential, 2.03 average expected goals, 1.16 average expected goals conceded and +0.9 average expected goal differential. They have 57% possession of the ball and 80% save percentage, while having 2 clean sheets.
Kylian Mbappé is France’s top scorer with 6 goals. Michael Olise is France’s top passer, with 5 assists.
France vs Paraguay Prediction
France has three wins and two draws in its five meetings against Paraguay, but three of those games were friendlies.
In this France vs Paraguay Prediction, France is coming as huge -575 favorites. France has been arguably the best team in the World Cup, having won three of those by three goals. Paraguay pulled off an upset in the round of 32 by eliminating the disappointing Germany in penalties and it’s almost impossible to do it again in a second straight game against the best team in the tournament, as they average just 0.7 goals per game. France has a dominating +2.8 goal differential and the spread is at -2 goals, which they will surely cover today. Take France by -2 goals.
