Toronto Maple Leafs vs Seattle Kraken Prediction 1/29/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

The Toronto Maple Leafs and the Seattle Kraken meet Thursday in NHL action from the Climate Pledge Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Seattle Kraken prediction.

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to shake off a 7-4 loss at the hands of the Buffalo Sabres last time out to sit at 24-20-9 this season. After this game, Toronto will continue their road trip with a game against the Vancouver Canucks.

Maple Leafs Lose 5 In A Row

William Nylander leads the Maple Leafs with 48 points on 17 goals and a team-high 31 assists while John Tavares has 45 points with 19 goals and 26 assists and Matthew Knies has 44 points with 13 goals and 31 assists. Auston Matthews has 45 points with 26 goals and 19 assists and Morgan Rielly has 30 points with 24 assists. Oliver Ekman-Larsson has 32 points with 24 assists. Anthony Stolarz has gone 6-6-1 with a 3.63 GAA and an .880 save percentage in goal for the Maple Leafs while Joseph Woll is 11-7-4 with a 3.01 GAA and a .908 save percentage. Dennis Hildeby is also 5-6-4 with a 2.90 GAA and a .912 save percentage this season.

Seattle Kraken Recap

The Seattle Kraken come into this game looking to add on to their 5-1 win over Washington last time out to sit at 24-19-9 this season. After this game, Seattle will head on the road for a game against the Vegas Golden Knights.

Kraken Win 3 Of Last 4

Jordan Eberle leads the Kraken in scoring with 36 points including a team-high 19 goals and 17 assists while Matty Beniers has 36 points with 13 goals and 23 assists. Chandler Stephenson has 31 points with 13 goals and 18 assists and Eeli Tolvanen has 30 points with 10 goals and 20 assists. Vince Dunn also has 31 points with 7 goals and 24 assists as well this season. Joey Daccord has gone 13-12-5 with a 2.89 GAA and a .901 save percentage while Philipp Grubauer is 11-5-3 with a 2.34 GAA and a .919 save percentage this season. Matt Murray is also 0-2-1 with a 2.21 GAA and a .922 save percentage this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Seattle Kraken Betting Trends: January 29, 2026

Why the Seattle Kraken will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost seven of their last eight games.
• The home team has won six of the Kraken’s last eight games.
• The Kraken have covered the puck line in 15 of their last 17 night games.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games following a home loss.
• The Kraken have won the third period in each of their last eight home games against Eastern Conference opponents when leading after the second period.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The road team has won each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games.
• The Kraken have lost each of their last four home games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games.
• The Kraken have lost the second period in 10 of their last 11 night games at Climate Pledge Arena when leading after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Kraken’s last six home games against opponents on a losing streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Seven of the Maple Leafs’ last eight night games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games following a home loss.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in eight of the Kraken’s last nine night games.

Seattle Kraken Player Prop Facts

• Jared McCann has scored at least one goal in six of the Kraken’s last seven night games at Climate Pledge Arena.
• Vince Dunn has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Kraken’s last eight home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Shane Wright has recorded two points against the Maple Leafs this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Max Domi has recorded an assist in each of his last four road appearances against the Kraken.
• William Nylander has scored at least one goal in five of his last six appearances.
• John Tavares has scored two goals against the Kraken this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Seattle Kraken rank 31st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (71.92%).
• The Seattle Kraken have recorded the most wins when tied or trailing after Period 1 this season (21).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 30th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.43).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 7th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (83.21%).

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Seattle Kraken Prediction

I’m on Seattle here. Toronto’s in must-win mode as they’re in a tailspin and are running out of time to make a move with all of the teams ahead of them playing well right now. However, I’m now at a point where I don’t trust Toronto to do that until I see it, and the Kraken have their final game of the homestand here before heading out on the road. I think Seattle’s the look until given a reason to think otherwise. Give me Seattle.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Seattle -115