Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Prediction 12/2/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

The Toronto Maple Leafs and the Florida Panthers meet Tuesday in NHL action from the Amerant Bank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers prediction.

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to add on to their 7-2 win over Pittsburgh last time out to sit at 11-11-3 this season. After this game, Toronto will head on the road for a game against the Carolina Hurricanes.

Maple Leafs Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

William Nylander leads the Maple Leafs with 32 points on 11 goals and a team-high 21 assists while John Tavares has 28 points with a team-high 12 goals and 16 assists and Matthew Knies has 26 points with 6 goals and 20 assists. Auston Matthews has 17 points with 10 goals and 7 assists and Morgan Rielly has 20 points with 16 assists. Oliver Ekman-Larsson has 20 points with 16 assists. Anthony Stolarz has gone 6-5-1 with a 3.51 GAA and an .884 save percentage in goal for the Maple Leafs while Joseph Woll is 2-3-1 with a 2.80 GAA and a .919 save percentage. Dennis Hildeby is also 1-2-1 with a 3.07 GAA and a .914 save percentage this season. 

Florida Panthers Recap

The Florida Panthers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 5-3 loss at the hands of Calgary last time out to sit at 12-11-1 this season. After this game, Florida will take on the Predators at home.

Panthers Drop Back-To-Back Games

Brad Marchand leads the Panthers with 27 points including a team-high 15 goals and 12 assists while Anton Lundell has 19 points with 6 goals and 13 assists. Sam Reinhart’s chipped in 23 points with 13 goals and 10 assists while Seth Jones has 13 points with 3 goals and 10 assists. Carter Verhaeghe has 16 points with 4 goals and 12 assists and Eetu Luostarinen has 10 points with 3 goals and 7 assists while Evan Rodrigues has 13 points with 7 goals and 6 assists. Gustav Forsling has 12 points with 1 goals and 11 assists and Mackie Samoskevich has 12 points with 3 goals and 9 assists. Sergei Bobrovsky’s gone 10-7 with a 2.88 GAA and an .882 save percentage while Daniil Tarasov has gone 2-4-1 with a 2.67 GAA and a .907 save percentage so far this season. 

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Florida Panthers Betting Trends: December 2, 2025

Why the Florida Panthers will win

• The Panthers have won each of their last 12 night games at Amerant Bank Arena following a loss.
• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last seven games at Amerant Bank Arena against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Panthers have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight night games following a home loss.
• The Panthers have won the third period in seven of their last eight night games following a home loss.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Panthers have lost each of their last three games as home favorites.
• The underdogs have won three of the Panthers’ last four games.
• The Panthers have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 10 games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Panthers’ last five games.
• The Maple Leafs have won the third period in five of their last six road games against Eastern Conference opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last eight night games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Panthers’ last seven games as favorites following a home loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 11 road games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Panthers’ last nine games following a home loss.

Florida Panthers Player Prop Facts

• Carter Verhaeghe has scored a goal in five of the Panthers’ last six home games against the Maple Leafs.
• Brad Marchand has recorded at least one point in 19 of his last 20 appearances in night games.
• Matthew Tkachuk has recorded at least one assist in four of his last five home appearances against the Maple Leafs.
• Sam Reinhart ranks 1st in the league for Game Winning Goals (5) this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Oliver Ekman-Larsson has recorded at least one point in each of the Maple Leafs’ last nine games.
• Oliver Ekman-Larsson has recorded an assist in seven of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games.
• Oliver Ekman-Larsson has recorded a point in each of his last nine appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Florida Panthers have suffered the equal-most losses by a margin of 2+ goals this season (11).
• The Florida Panthers rank T28th in the league for Period 3 goals allowed per game this season (1.33).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 29th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.56).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T5th in the league for goals per game this season (3.40).

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers Prediction

I’m on the Maple Leafs here. It’s a playoff revenge spot for Toronto and the Maple Leafs have a chance to catch Florida right now when the Panthers aren’t playing at their best. I think Toronto woke up in that blowout win over Pittsburgh, and I think the Panthers are ripe for the picking here against the Leafs. Give me Toronto in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Toronto +130