Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction 12/28/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Detroit Red Wings meet Sunday in NHL action at the Little Caesars Arena. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings Pick.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Penguins and Senators, and they play the Devils next. The Maple Leafs have split their last 12 games.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.3 goals per game and are scoring 14.7 percent of their power-play opportunities. John Tavares leads Toronto with 15 goals, William Nylander has 27 assists, and Auston Matthews has 123 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.38 goals per game and are killing 83.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anthony Stolarz has allowed 41 goals on 353 shots faced, while Dennis Hildeby has given up 32 goals on 349 shots.

Detroit Red Wings Betting Preview

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Stars, lost to the Hurricanes, and they play the Jets next. The Red Wings have won 8 of their last 11 games.

The Detroit Red Wings are averaging 3.08 goals per game and are scoring 25.2 percent of their power play opportunities. Alex DeBrincat leads Detroit with 20 goals, Lucas Raymond has 30 assists and Dylan Larkin has 117 shots on goal. Defensively, the Detroit Red Wings are allowing 3.21 goals per game and are killing 80.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Cam Talbot has given up 54 goals on 477 shots faced, while John Gibson has allowed 65 goals on 595 shots.

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

• The home team has won each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games.
• The Maple Leafs have lost four of their last five road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven night games.
• The Red Wings have covered the puck line in nine of their last 11 games against the Maple Leafs.
• The Maple Leafs have lost the third period in each of their last five games as underdogs.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won each of their last three games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Red Wings have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last nine games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Red Wings’ last five games at Little Caesars Arena.
• The Red Wings have lost the third period in each of their last four home games against Eastern Conference opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Red Wings’ last four games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Five of the Maple Leafs’ last six games following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Six of the last eight night games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last eight night games at Little Caesars Arena.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Red Wings’ last three home games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

• Lucas Raymond has scored at least one goal in five of the Red Wings’ last six games against the Maple Leafs at Little Caesars Arena.
• Patrick Kane has recorded at least one assist in six of the Red Wings’ last seven games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Lucas Raymond has scored two goals against the Maple Leafs this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Bobby McMann has scored a goal in three of the Maple Leafs’ last four games.
• Nicolas Roy has recorded an assist in five of his six previous road appearances against the Red Wings.
• Morgan Rielly has recorded two hits against the Red Wings this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Detroit Red Wings have recorded the equal-most wins when trailing after Period 1 this season (6).
• The Detroit Red Wings have recorded the equal-most wins when trailing after Period 2 this season (4).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 28th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.38).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 5th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (83.51%).

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction

The Maple Leafs are coming off a nice couple of wins where the offense has found its stride, but now they have to prove they can do it on the road. The Maple Leafs have 10 road losses this season. The Red Wings come back home where they’ve won 12 games, and they beat the Leafs twice back in October. The Maple Leafs and the plus money is attractive when they’re playing well, but their home / road splits haven’t been kind this season. I have to side with the Wings on their home ice.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Detroit Red Wings