Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction 11/28/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Detroit Red Wings meet Friday in NHL action at the Little Caesars Arena. Here’s a Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction. This article will include a Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Pick.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Flyers and Flames, and they play the Rangers next. The Lightning have won 5 straight games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.22 goals per game and are scoring on 16.2 percent of their power play opportunities. Jake Guentzel leads Tampa Bay with 12 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 16 assists, and Brandon Hagel has 65 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.65 goals per game and are killing 88.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 38 goals on 449 shots faced, while Jonas Johansson has given up 20 goals on 187 shots.

Detroit Red Wings Betting Preview

The Detroit Red Wings lost to the Devils and Predators, and they play the Bruins next. The Red Wings have lost 3 of their last 4 games.

The Detroit Red Wings are averaging 2.92 goals per game and are scoring 2.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Dylan Larkin leads Detroit with 13 goals, Lucas Raymond has 18 assists and Alex DeBrincat has 92 shots on goal. Defensively, the Detroit Red Wings are allowing 3.33 goals per game and are killing 80.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Cam Talbot has given up 38 goals on 336 shots faced, while John Gibson has allowed 39 goals on 299 shots.

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

• The Red Wings have won eight of their last nine games as home underdogs.
• The Lightning have lost three of their last four games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Red Wings have covered the puck line in each of their last nine games as home underdogs.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Red Wings have won the second period in each of their last four games as home underdogs when tied after the first period.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Lightning have won each of their last eight games as road favorites following a home win.
• The Red Wings have lost five of their last six day games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Red Wings’ last four games.
• The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four day games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Lightning have won the second period in each of their last four road games against Atlantic Division opponents when tied after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Red Wings’ last four games against the Lightning following a home loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Five of the Lightning’s last six games as road favorites following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in four of the Lightning’s last five games at Little Caesars Arena against opponents on a losing streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Red Wings’ last seven day games.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

• Patrick Kane has scored a goal in five of his last six appearances with the Red Wings as home underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Lucas Raymond has recorded at least one point in each of the Red Wings’ last 11 day games at Little Caesars Arena.
• J.T. Compher has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six Friday day appearances.
• Axel Sandin Pellikka has recorded four blocks against the Lightning this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Cirelli has scored at least one goal in four of the Lightning’s last five day games.
• Jake Guentzel has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last five day games.
• Victor Hedman has recorded a point in each of his last four appearances.
• Janis Jerome Moser has recorded a positive plus minus rating in each of his last seven appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Detroit Red Wings have recorded the largest comeback win this season – trailed by four goals vs Blues on October, 25.
• The Detroit Red Wings are the only team to win a game when trailing by four or more goals this season.
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 6th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.65).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 8th in the league for goals per game this season (3.22).

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction

The Red Wings have been a mess defensively this week, and now they’re running into a red-hot Lightning squad. Not ideal. The Lightning are on fire with five straight wins and wins in eight of their last 10 games overall. The Lightning are getting it done on both ends of the ice. Yes, this is an early start, and they usually favor the home team, but we’re getting one of the hottest teams in the league at a cheap price. Give me the Lightning.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning