Stars vs Maple Leafs Prediction 4/13/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Stars vs Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Monday, April 13th at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are 48-20-12 this season after they defeated the Rangers by a score of 2-0 in their last game. Dallas had trouble scoring in the first two periods, but they scored twice in the last eight minutes to get the win. The Stars were out shot by a total of 22-19, won 45.7% of the face-offs, and went 1-4 on the power play in the game. Dallas got both of their goals from Robertson, while Oettinger stopped all 22 shots in the shutout win. 

Prior to that game, Dallas defeated the Wild by a score of 5-4 and the Flames by a score of 4-3. The Stars have won four of their last five games and they are currently second in the Central standings with 108 points. Dallas has scored 3.30 goals per game and they have allowed 2.68 goals against per game, while also going 28.5% on the power play and 80.3% on the penalty kill this season. Jason Robertson has led Dallas with 44 goals and 50 assists, while Wyatt Johnston has added 44 goals and 41 assists. The projected starting goalie for Dallas is Jake Oettinger, who is 34-12-6 with a 2.59 goals against average and a .900 save percentage this season. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 32-34-14 this year after they lost to the Panthers by a score of 6-2 in their last game. Toronto cut the deficit to 3-2 in the second period, but they allowed three goals in the third for the lopsided loss. The Maple Leafs were out shot by a total of 25-19, won 64.3% of the face-offs, and went 1-1 on the power play in the game. Toronto got both of their goals from Nylander, while Woll stopped 19 out of 23 shots, which was an .826 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Toronto lost to the Islanders by a score of 5-3 and the Capitals by a score of 4-0. The Maple Leafs have lost five games in a row and they are currently last in the Atlantic standings with 78 points. Toronto has scored 3.08 goals per game and they have allowed 3.58 goals against per game, while also going 21.2% on the power play and 82.1% on the penalty kill this season. William Nylander has led Toronto with 28 goals and 47 assists, while Matthew Knies has added 23 goals and 41 assists. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Joseph Woll, who is 15-16-7 with a 3.34 goals against average and an .899 save percentage this year. 

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Stars have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have won nine of their last 12 games as underdogs against the Stars.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four night games following a win.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in 13 of their last 14 Monday games as home underdogs.
• The Stars have lost the third period in each of their last three games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last 10 night games following a home loss.
• The Stars have won nine of their last 10 night games following a home win.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games at Scotiabank Arena following a home loss.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in six of their last seven road games against the Maple Leafs.
• The Maple Leafs have lost the first period in each of their last five night games.

Total Goals Facts

• Six of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games as home underdogs against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Five of the Stars’ last six night games at Scotiabank Arena have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven home games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last eight games at Scotiabank Arena.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in six of his last seven appearances against Central Division opponents at Scotiabank Arena.
• Morgan Rielly has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances against the Stars at Scotiabank Arena.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Wyatt Johnston has scored at least one goal in five of the Stars’ last six games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Jason Robertson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Stars’ last five road games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Stars vs Maple Leafs Prediction 

Toronto comes into this matchup on a five game losing streak and they have allowed at least four goals in all five of those games. The Maple Leafs are 18-14-8 at home this year, while the Stars are 22-9-8 on the road. Dallas has won three in a row and they have allowed two goals or fewer in three of their last five. The Stars don’t have much to play for in this one and while I don’t like Toronto’s current form, I think they have some value at home. Take the Maple Leafs here.

David Racey's Pick: Maple Leafs ML