Dec 20, 2025; Ottawa, Ontario, CAN; Ottawa Senators left wing Fabian Zetterlund (20) celebrates with team his goal scored in the third period against the Chicago Blackhawks at the Canadian Tire Centre. Mandatory Credit: Marc DesRosiers-IMAGN Images
Marc DesRosiers-Imagn Images

Senators vs Bruins Prediction 12/21/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Ottawa Senators Boston Bruins
Team Records 17-13-4 20-15-1
Spread -1.5 180 +1.5 -218
Moneyline -142 +120
Total Over 6.5 (114) Under 6.5 (-135)
Where TD Garden, Boston, MA
When Sunday, December 21, 2025
Time 07:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article we will formulate a Senators vs Bruins prediction for this NHL game on Sunday, December 21st at the TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 17-13-4 this season after they defeated Chicago by a score of 6-4 in their last game. Ottawa was tied at three in the second period, but they scored three goals in the third to pull away with the win. The Senators out shot Chicago by a total of 40-24, won 59.7% of the face-offs, and went 1-7 on the power play in the game. Ottawa got goals from Perron (2), Stutzle, Tkachuk (2), and Zetterlund, while Merilainen stopped 20 out of 24 shots, which was an .833 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Ottawa defeated the Penguins by a score of 4-0 and the Jets by a score of 3-2. The Senators have won four of their last five games and they are currently sixth in the Atlantic standings with 38 points. Ottawa has scored 3.09 goals per game and they have allowed 3.15 goals against per game, while also going 25.7% on the power play and 71.1% on the penalty kill this season. Tim Stutzle has led Ottawa with 16 goals and 21 assists, while Drake Batherson has added 13 goals and 19 assists. The projected starting goalie for Ottawa is Linus Ullmark, who is 13-8-4 with a 2.89 goals against average and an .884 save percentage this season. 

Boston Bruins Betting Preview

The Boston Bruins are 20-15-1 this year after they lost to Vancouver by a score of 5-4 in a shootout. Boston led 3-2 in the third period, but they needed a goal with about four minutes left to tie the game, before losing in the shootout. The Bruins out shot Vancouver by a total of 42-22, won 61.0% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Boston got goals from Geekie, Jeannot, Zacha, and Peeke, while Swayman stopped 18 out of 22 shots, which was an .818 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Boston lost to the Oilers by a score of 3-1, but did beat the Mammoth by a score of 4-1 before that. The Bruins have lost three of their last four games and they are currently fourth in the Atlantic standings with 41 points. Boston has scored 3.20 goals per game and they have allowed 3.11 goals against per game, while also going 25.7% on the power play and 80.6% on the penalty kill this season. Morgan Geekie has led Boston with 25 goals and 14 assists, while David Pastrnak has added 13 goals and 25 assists. The projected starting goalie for Boston is Joonas Korpisalo, who is 6-6-0 with a 3.35 goals against average and an .888 save percentage this year. 

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

  • The Senators have won four of their last five games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Bruins have lost seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Bruins have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight night games at TD Garden after coming off a shootout.
  • The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last five games.
  • The Bruins have lost the third period in four of their last five games as home underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Eight of the last nine games between the Senators and Bruins at TD Garden have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Eight of the Senators’ last nine night games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Bruins’ last five home games.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in four of the Senators’ last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

  • Morgan Geekie has scored at least one goal in six of the Bruins’ last seven games at TD Garden.
  • Elias Lindholm has recorded at least one assist in each of the Bruins’ last seven games at TD Garden.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

  • Claude Giroux has scored a goal in each of the Senators’ last four games as favorites against the Bruins.
  • Jordan Spence has recorded an assist in each of his last five appearances on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Senators vs Bruins Prediction 

Ottawa comes into this matchup looking for their fourth win in a row and they have scored 10 goals in their last two. The Senators are 9-7-2 on the road this year, while the Bruins are 12-6-1 at home. Boston has dropped three of their last four and they have allowed 15 goals in those four games. The Bruins have been solid on home ice for most of the season, but they are 1-1-1 in their last three. I would take a look at Boston and the plus money here, but I don’t like the goalie matchup for the Bruins. Take Ottawa on the road.

David Racey's Pick: Senators ML

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