Jan 31, 2026; Elmont, New York, USA;  New York Islanders goaltender Ilya Sorokin (30) makes a save on a shot on goal attempt from Nashville Predators left wing Erik Haula (56) in the first period at UBS Arena. Mandatory Credit: Wendell Cruz-Imagn Images
Wendell Cruz-Imagn Images

Penguins vs Islanders Prediction 2/3/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Pittsburgh Penguins New York Islanders
Team Records 28-15-11 30-21-5
Spread +1.5 -250 -1.5 205
Moneyline +100 -120
Total Over 5.5 (-135) Under 5.5 (114)
Where UBS Arena, Elmont, NY
When Tuesday, February 3, 2026
Time 07:30 PM EST
TV TNT

In this article we will formulate a Penguins vs Islanders prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, February 3rd at UBS Arena in Elmont, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins are 28-15-11 this year after they lost to Ottawa by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Pittsburgh tied the game at two in the middle of the third period, but they allowed a goal with about five minutes left for the loss. The Penguins were out shot by a total of 31-16, won 46.0% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Pittsburgh got goals from Chinakhov and Novak, while Silovs stopped 28 out of 31 shots, which was a .903 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Pittsburgh defeated the Rangers by a score of 6-5 and the Blackhawks by a score of 6-2. The Penguins have won six of their last seven games and they are currently second in the Metro standings with 67 points. Pittsburgh has scored 3.40 goals per game and they have allowed 2.87 goals against per game, while also going 27.0% on the power play and 83.4% on the penalty kill this season. Sidney Crosby has led Pittsburgh with 27 goals and 31 assists, while Evgeni Malkin has added 13 goals and 30 assists. The projected starting goalie for Pittsburgh is Stuart Skinner, who is 8-4-0 with a 2.53 goals against average and an .895 save percentage for the Penguins this year. 

New York Islanders Betting Preview

The New York Islanders are 30-21-5 this season after they lost to Washington by a score of 4-1 in their last game. New York led 1-0 after the first period, but they allowed two goals in the second and two in the third for the loss. The Islanders out shot Washington by a total of 30-24, won 50% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. New York got their lone goal from Barzal, while Rittich stopped 20 out of 23 shots, which was an .870 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, New York lost to the Predators by a score of 4-3, but did beat the Rangers by a score of 2-1 before that. The Islanders have lost two games in a row and they are currently third in the Metro standings with 65 points. New York has scored 2.84 goals per game and they have allowed 2.69 goals against per game, while also going 16.2% on the power play and 81.6% on the penalty kill this season. Mathew Barzal has led New York with 15 goals and 32 assists, while Matthew Schaefer has added 15 goals and 22 assists. The projected starting goalie for New York is Ilya Sorokin, who is 18-13-2 with a 2.44 goals against average and a .916 save percentage this season. 

Why the New York Islanders will win

  • The Islanders have won seven of their last eight home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Penguins have lost six of their last seven night games at UBS Arena.
  • The Islanders have covered the puck line in each of their last four home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five night games following a home loss.
  • The Islanders have won the third period in five of their last six home games against the Penguins.

    Total Goals Facts

    • Each of the Islanders’ last seven games as home favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total goals line.
    • Each of the Penguins’ last five night games at UBS Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
    • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Islanders’ last six games as home favorites.
    • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last five games as road underdogs.

    New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

    • Bo Horvat has scored at least one goal in each of his last seven Tuesday night appearances.
    • Matthew Schaefer has recorded an assist in each of the Islanders’ last four games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.

    Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

    • Sidney Crosby has scored a goal in each of his last four appearances after playing less than 20 minutes the previous day.
    • Evgeni Malkin has recorded at least one assist in each of the Penguins’ last six night games.

    Penguins vs Islanders Prediction 

    Both of these teams come into this matchup after losing on Monday night, so they will both be on a back to back here. The Penguins are 15-7-4 on the road this year, while the Islanders are 15-10-2 at home. New York has lost two in a row and they have scored two goals or fewer in two of their last three. Pittsburgh has won six of their last seven and they have scored six goals in three of their last five. This is a very even matchup, but I have to side with New York at home, as they have a big advantage with Sorokin in net.

    David Racey's Pick: Islanders ML

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