Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction 2/5/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Senators vs Flyers Prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, February 5th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers Preview

The Flyers have 60 points this season with a 25-20-10 record, and are 32-23 ATS and 31-23 in over/under. They have a 13-9-6 home record and a 12-11-4 road record and are sitting 4th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 4-2 home win over the Capitals, and their previous three games were a 3-2 home overtime loss to the Kings, a 6-3 road loss to the Bruins, and a 5-3 road loss to the Blue Jackets.

Offensively, the Flyers are averaging 2.93 goals per game and are scoring 15.6% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.18 goals per game and are killing 78.9% of their opponent’s power plays.

Travis Konecny leads the Flyers with 54 points and 22 goals, while leading the team in assists with 32. Dan Vladar is the starting goalie for the Flyers, and he has a 17-8-5 record, with 2.49 GAA and .904 SV%. Samuel Ersson is the backup goalie and he has a 8-10-5 record, with 3.51 GAA and .856 SV%.

Ottawa Senators Preview

The Senators have 61 points this season with a 27-22-7 record, and are 24-32 ATS and 33-23 in over/under. They have a 14-10-4 home record and a 13-12-3 road record and are sitting 7th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 4-3 road loss to the Hurricanes, and their previous three games were a 3-2 road win over the Penguins, a 4-1 home win over the Devils, and a 5-2 home win over the Avalanche.

Offensively, the Senators are averaging 3.32 goals per game and are scoring 23.2% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.27 goals per game and are killing 72.9% of their opponent’s power plays.

Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 60 points and 27 goals, while Jake Sanderson leads the team in assists with 35. Linus Ullmark is the starting goalie for the Senators, and he has a 16-8-5 record, with 2.86 GAA and .884 SV%. James Reimer is the backup goalie and he has a 2-3-1 record, with 3.22 GAA and .861 SV%.

Ottawa Senators @ Philadelphia Flyers Betting Trends: February 5, 2026

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

• The home team has won four of the Senators’ last five games.
• The Senators have lost four of their last five games following a road loss.
• The home team has covered the puck line in each of the Flyers’ last four games.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in 19 of their last 22 games as favorites following a road loss.
• The Senators have lost the second period in each of their last four road games when tied after the first period.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Flyers have lost each of their last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Senators have won each of their last four games against the Flyers.
• The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Senators have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine night games at Xfinity Mobile Arena.
• The Flyers have lost the third period in each of their last nine night games against Eastern Conference opponents at Xfinity Mobile Arena when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Flyers’ last six home games against the Senators following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Five of the Senators’ last six games as favorites following a road loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last 10 games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Flyers’ last eight games as underdogs.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

• Travis Konecny has recorded an assist in eight of his last nine appearances against the Senators.
• Tyson Foerster has scored a goal in each of his last four home appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Christian Dvorak has recorded two assists against the Senators this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Claude Giroux has recorded at least one assist in each of his last five appearances against former teams.
• Tim Stutzle has scored at least one goal in each of the Senators’ last six games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Michael Amadio has scored two goals against the Flyers this season – most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Philadelphia Flyers rank 28th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.25%).
• The Philadelphia Flyers rank 30th in the league for power play goals this season (26).
• The Ottawa Senators rank 30th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (72.89%).
• The Ottawa Senators rank 8th in the league in power play percentage this season (23.24%).

Senators vs Flyers Prediction

The Senators have won both previous meetings against the Flyers this season, at home by 2-1 and on the road by 3-2 in overtime, and are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings.

In this Senators vs Flyers Prediction, the Senators are coming as -129 road favorites. Both teams have almost the same number of points this season and exactly 13 home/away wins. The Senators have been in better form lately, with a 4-1 record in their last 5 games, while the Flyers have been struggling, with a 3-7 record in their last 10 games and are 1-6 in their last 7 home games. The Senators have a better offense and power play and given both teams’ recent form, I have to take the Senators to win this one on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Ottawa Senators ML