Oilers vs Lightning Prediction 11/20/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate an Oilers vs Lightning prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, November 20th at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview

The Edmonton Oilers are 9-9-4 this season after they lost to Washington by a score of 7-4 in their last game. Edmonton cut the lead to 2-1, 3-2, 4-3, and 5-4, but could never find the tying goal and gave up two empty net goals to seal the loss. The Oilers out shot Washington by a total of 30-21, won 53.7% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Edmonton got goals from Draisaitl, Tomasek, and Nurse (2), while Skinner stopped 14 out of 19 shots, which was a .737 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Edmonton lost to the Sabres by a score of 5-1, but did beat the Hurricanes by a score of 4-3 before that. The Oilers have lost three of their last four games and they are currently fifth in the Pacific standings with 22 points. Edmonton has scored 3.00 goals per game and they have allowed 3.48 goals against per game, while also going 30.8% on the power play and 81.5% on the penalty kill this season. Connor McDavid has led Edmonton with nine goals and 23 assists, while Leon Draisaitl has added 14 goals and 12 assists. The projected starting goalie for Edmonton is Calvin Pickard, who is 2-3-1 with a 4.17 goals against average and an .830 save percentage this season. 

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 10-7-2 this year after they defeated New Jersey by a score of 5-1 in their last game. Tampa Bay had their lead cut to 3-1 late in the second period, but they scored twice in the third to put the game away. The Lightning were out shot by a total of 32-29, won 43.6% of the face-offs, and went 2-3 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay got goals from Guentzel (3), Kucherov, and Raddysh, while Vasilevskiy stopped 31 out of 32 shots, which was a .969 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Tampa Bay lost to the Canucks by a score of 6-2, but did beat the Panthers by a score of 3-1 before that. The Lightning have alternated wins and losses over their last five games and they are currently fourth in the Atlantic standings with 22 points. Tampa Bay has scored 3.11 goals per game and they have allowed 2.95 goals against per game, while also going 17.7% on the power play and 85.7% on the penalty kill this season. Jake Guentzel has led TB with 11 goals and nine assists, while Nikita Kucherov has added nine goals and nine assists. The projected starting goalie for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is 7-5-2 with a 2.64 goals against average and a .906 save percentage this year. 

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Lightning have won seven of their last eight night games at Benchmark International Arena following a home win.

Total Goals Facts

• Four of the Lightning’s last five games at Benchmark International Arena following a home win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in seven of the Lightning’s last nine games following a home win.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Hagel has recorded at least one assist in nine of the Lightning’s last 10 games against Pacific Division opponents.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one point in each of his last 12 home appearances against Pacific Division opponents.
• Jake Guentzel has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last four games at Benchmark International Arena.

Oilers vs Lightning Prediction 

Tampa Bay comes into this contest struggling to string wins together, but they did play great against New Jersey last time out. The Lightning are 5-5-0 at home this season, while the Oilers are 4-8-2 on the road. Edmonton has lost three of their last four games and they have started this season playing very poorly with the talent they have. The Oilers have allowed at least five goals in three of their last four and Pickard has not been good in the backup role. Take the Lightning -1.5 here.

David Racey's Pick: Lightning -1.5