New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 10/17/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

The New York Islanders and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Saturday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction. This article will include a New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Pick.

New York Islanders Betting Preview

The New York Islanders lost to the Senators, beat the Canucks, and they play the Ducks next. The Islanders have split their last 6 games.

The New York Islanders are averaging 2.86 goals per game and are scoring 18.2 percent of their power play opportunities. Bo Horvat leads New York with 4 goals, Matthew Schaefer has 6 assists, and Brayden Schenn has 14 shots on goal. Defensively, the New York Islanders are allowing 2.29 goals per game and are killing 85.2 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Ilya Sorokin has allowed 9 goals on 137 shots faced, and Semyon Varlamov has given up 4 goals on 41 shots.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs lost to the Mammoth and Sabres, and they play the Sharks next. The Maple Leafs have lost 3 of their last 4 games.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.5 goals per game and are scoring 29.6 percent of their power-play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 6 goals, William Nylander has 7 assists, and Jack Roslovic has 25 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.38 goals per game and are killing 96.2 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Sergei Bobrovsky has allowed 17 goals on 163 shots faced, and Anthony Stolarz has given up 10 goals on 80 shots.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Islanders have lost each of their last seven road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The home team has won six of the Islanders’ last seven games.
• The Maple Leafs have won the second period in each of their last four games as favorites when trailing after the first period.

Why the New York Islanders will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost six of their last seven games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Islanders have won three of their last four games as underdogs following a shootout loss.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in 14 of their last 15 games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games.
• The Islanders have won the first period in five of their last six night games at Scotiabank Arena.

Total Goals Facts

• Eight of the last 10 games between the Islanders and Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Four of the Islanders’ last five games against opponents on a losing streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in 12 of the Maple Leafs’ last 13 games as home favorites.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Islanders’ last four night games against opponents on a losing streak.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• John Tavares has recorded at least one assist in five of the Maple Leafs’ last six games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Auston Matthews has scored a goal in four of his last five appearances with the Maple Leafs as favorites.

New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

• Mathew Barzal has recorded at least one assist in each of his last five appearances against the Maple Leafs.

New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Report

The Maple Leafs will be without Chris Tanev, Dakota Joshua, Max Domi, Cade Webber, Elvis Merzlikins, and William Villeneuve. John Tavares is day-to-day.

The Islanders will be without Mathew Barzal and Alexander Romanov.

New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

The Maple Leafs are going to get the benefit of the doubt at home, but they’ve been shaky defensively and have suffered some frustrating losses lately. The Islanders have issues of their own and have had issues stringing wins together, but they’re always worth a look in the underdog role due to their defensive effort. The Islanders have also won 7 of their last 10 games against the Leafs. The Islanders have been able to bully the Leafs. I’ll take a shot with the plus money.

Randy Chambers's Pick: New York Islanders