Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators Prediction 1/17/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

The Montreal Canadiens and Ottawa Senators meet Saturday in NHL action at the Canadian Tire Centre. Here’s a Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators Prediction. This article will include a Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators Pick.

Montreal Canadiens Betting Preview

The Montreal Canadiens lost to the Capitals and Sabres, and they play the Wild next. The Canadiens have lost 3 of their last 4 games.

The Montreal Canadiens are averaging 3.33 goals per game and are scoring on 23.4 percent of their power play opportunities. Cole Caufield leads Montreal with 22 goals, Lane Hutson has 39 assists and Nick Suzuki has 103 shots on goal. Defensively, the Montreal Canadiens are allowing 3.23 goals per game and are killing 79 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jakub Dobes has given up 63 goals on 565 shots faced, and Sam Montembeault has allowed 59 goals on 469 shots.

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators beat the Canucks and Rangers, and they play the Red Wings next. The Senators have lost 7 of their last 11 games.

The Ottawa Senators are averaging 3.22 goals per game and are scoring 22.7 percent of their power play opportunities. Tim Stutzle leads Ottawa with 20 goals, Jake Sanderson has 26 assists and Dylan Cozens has 108 shots on goal. Defensively, the Ottawa Senators are allowing 3.33 goals per game and are killing 72.4 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Linus Ullmark has allowed 82 goals on 687 shots faced, while Leevi Merilainen has given up 58 goals on 438 shots.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Canadiens have lost each of their last five night games at Canadian Tire Centre against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Senators have won six of their last seven games against the Canadiens at Canadian Tire Centre.
• The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four night games at Canadian Tire Centre against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Canadiens have lost the third period in four of their last five night games at Canadian Tire Centre.

Why the Montreal Canadiens will win

• The Canadiens have won each of their last five games as road underdogs following a road loss.
• The Senators have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Canadiens have covered the puck line in each of their last 11 games as underdogs.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Senators have lost the first period in three of their last four games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the last five night games between the Canadiens and Senators have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Six of the Canadiens’ last seven road games against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last eight games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Canadiens’ last nine games at Canadian Tire Centre.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Drake Batherson has scored a goal in each of the Senators’ last three games as favorites against the Canadiens.
• Tyler Kleven has recorded at least one assist in each of the Senators’ last four games against the Canadiens.

Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts

• Cole Caufield has scored at least one goal in each of his last six Saturday night appearances against the Senators.
• Lane Hutson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Canadiens’ last four road games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Ottawa Senators rank 32nd in the league in save percentage this season (.873).
• The Ottawa Senators rank 3rd in the league for shots against per game this season (25.2).
• The Montreal Canadiens has scored 4+ goals in 25 games this season – equal-most in the NHL.
• The Montreal Canadiens rank 31st in the league for Period 2 goals allowed per game this season (1.25).

Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators Prediction

The Senators are getting the slight edge because they’re at home, but we’re getting plus money with the Habs, who have been the better team this season. The Canadiens have 13 road wins this season, and they’ve won 4 of the last 6 games against the Senators. After some tough recent losses, it feels like this is a bounce back spot for the Canadiens. The Senators have had some ugly defensive performances over the last couple of weeks. Give me the Canadiens and the slight plus money.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Montreal Canadiens