Maple Leafs vs Hurricanes Prediction 12/4/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Maple Leafs vs Hurricanes prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, December 4th at the Lenovo Center in Raleigh, North Carolina. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 12-11-3 this season after they defeated Florida by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Toronto had their lead cut to 2-1 in the second period, but they scored twice in the third to put the game away. The Maple Leafs out shot Florida by a total of 31-26, won 72.2% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Joshua, Laughton, Tavares, and Stecher, while Woll stopped 25 out of 26 shots, which was a .962 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Toronto defeated the Penguins by a score of 7-2, but lost to the Capitals by a score of 4-2 before that. The Maple Leafs have won three of their last four games and they are currently sixth in the Atlantic standings with 27 points. Toronto has scored 3.42 goals per game and they have allowed 3.46 goals against per game, while also going 15.2% on the power play and 81.1% on the penalty kill this season. William Nylander has led Toronto with 11 goals and 21 assists, while John Tavares has added 13 goals and 16 assists. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Joseph Woll, who is 3-3-1 with a 2.53 goals against average and a .925 save percentage this season. 

Carolina Hurricanes Betting Preview

The Carolina Hurricanes are 16-7-2 this year after they defeated Calgary in overtime by a score of 1-0 in their last game. Carolina didn’t generate much on offense, but they played elite defense and eventually got the win in overtime. The Hurricanes out shot Calgary by a total of 17-16, won 52.7% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Carolina got their lone goal from Ehlers, while Cooley stopped 16 out of 17 shots, which was a .941 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Carolina defeated the Jets by a score of 5-1, but lost to the Rangers by a score of 4-2 before that. The Hurricanes have won three of their last five games and they are currently battling with Washington at the top of the Metro standings with 34 points. Carolina has scored 3.40 goals per game and they have allowed 2.76 goals against per game, while also going 13.7% on the power play and 79.7% on the penalty kill this season. Sebastian Aho has led Carolina with eight goals and 16 assists, while Seth Jarvis has added 15 goals and seven assists. The projected starting goalie for Carolina is Frederik Andersen, who is 5-6-2 with a 3.08 goals against average and an .878 save percentage this year. 

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won three of their last four games as road underdogs.
• The Hurricanes have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Hurricanes have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games as favorites following a win.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in six of their last seven games against the Hurricanes.
• The road team has won the third period in five of the last six games between the Maple Leafs and Hurricanes.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Hurricanes’ last five home games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Thirteen of the Maple Leafs’ last 15 night games against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 11 road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in three of the last four games between the Maple Leafs and Hurricanes.

Carolina Hurricanes Player Prop Facts

• Sebastian Aho has scored at least one goal in five of the Hurricanes’ last six games against Atlantic Division opponents at Lenovo Center.
• Nikolaj Ehlers has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a home favorite against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Shayne Gostisbehere has recorded at least one assist in each of his last five appearances against Eastern Conference opponents at Lenovo Center.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Auston Matthews has scored a goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games as underdogs against the Hurricanes.
• Auston Matthews has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight appearances at Lenovo Center.
• Oliver Ekman-Larsson has recorded an assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games as underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Maple Leafs vs Hurricanes Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup after winning their last two games and one team will be leaving with a three game winning streak. The Maple Leafs are 4-7-0 on the road this year, while the Hurricanes are 8-3-1 at home. Carolina has allowed a total of one goal in their last two games, but they will face a Toronto team that has scored 11 goals in their last two. I know Carolina has the much better record and they are at home, but I think Toronto is gaining momentum and I like them with the plus money here.

David Racey's Pick: Maple Leafs ML