Lightning vs Flyers Prediction 1/12/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Lightning vs Flyers prediction for this NHL game on Monday, January 12th at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 27-13-3 this season after they defeated Philadelphia by a score of 7-2 in their last game. Tampa Bay was tied at one in the first period, but they scored the next four goals to pull away with the win. The Lightning out shot Philadelphia by a total of 23-20, won 63.0% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay got goals from Goncalves (2), Gourde, Hagel, Kucherov (2), and Paul, while Vasilevskiy stopped 18 out of 20 shots, which was a .900 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Tampa Bay defeated the Avalanche by a score of 4-2 and the Sharks by a score of 7-3. The Lightning have won nine games in a row and they are currently second in the Atlantic standings with 57 points. Tampa Bay has scored 3.53 goals per game and they have allowed 2.63 goals against per game, while also going 19.7% on the power play and 83.1% on the penalty kill this season. Nikita Kucherov has led TB with 22 goals and 43 assists, while Jake Guentzel has added 19 goals and 26 assists. The projected starting goalie for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is 18-7-2 with a 2.33 goals against average and a .913 save percentage this season. 

Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Flyers are 22-13-8 this year after they lost to Tampa Bay by a score of 7-2 in their last game. Philadelphia cut the deficit to 5-2 in the third period, but allowed the last two goals in the lopsided loss. The Flyers recorded 20 shots on goal, won 37.0% of the face-offs, and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. Philadelphia got goals from Hathaway and Tippett, while Ersson stopped 16 out of 23 shots, which was a .696 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Philadelphia lost to the Maple Leafs by a score of 2-1, but did beat the Ducks by a score of 5-2 before that. The Flyers have split their last four games and they are currently third in the Metro standings with 52 points. Philadelphia has scored 2.95 goals per game and they have allowed 2.88 goals against per game, while also going 15.6% on the power play and 80.8% on the penalty kill this season. Trevor Zegras has led Philadelphia with 17 goals and 24 assists, while Travis Konecny has added 14 goals and 24 assists. The projected starting goalie for Philadelphia is Dan Vladar, who is 16-6-4 with a 2.35 goals against average and a .910 save percentage this year. 

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

• The Lightning have lost three of their last five games as road favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The underdogs have won two of the Lightning’s last three games at Xfinity Mobile Arena.
• The Flyers have covered the puck line in 10 of their last 11 games following a loss.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four night games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Lightning have lost the third period in three of their last four games as favorites.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Lightning have won each of their last six night games.
• The Flyers have lost six of their last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in five of their last six night games.
• The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five night games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Flyers have lost the third period in each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Flyers’ last seven games at Xfinity Mobile Arena against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Lightning’s last six night games at Xfinity Mobile Arena following a road win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Flyers’ last six games following a home loss.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in seven of the Lightning’s last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

• Tyson Foerster has scored a goal in each of his last four home appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Travis Konecny has recorded an assist in seven of his last eight appearances with the Flyers as home underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Lightning as road favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Nikita Kucherov has scored the first goal in three of his last four appearances with the Lightning as favorites against the Flyers.
• Nikita Kucherov has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last five games as favorites.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Philadelphia Flyers rank T30th in the league for power play goals this season (19).
• The Philadelphia Flyers rank 3rd in the league for Period 3 goals allowed per game this season (0.86).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of only two teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.
• The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of four teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.

Lightning vs Flyers Prediction 

Tampa Bay comes into this contest looking for their 10th win in a row and they just beat Philadelphia by a score of 7-2 on Saturday. The Lightning are 15-4-3 on the road this year, while the Flyers are 12-6-5 at home. Philadelphia has lost two games in a row and they have scored two goals or fewer in three of their last five. Tampa Bay has scored at least four goals in five straight games and they have gone over 6.5 goals in four of their last five. Take the over once again here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 6.5