Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction 1/29/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

The Dallas Stars and the Vegas Golden Knights meet Thursday in NHL action from the T-Mobile Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Dallas Stars vs. Vegas Golden Knights prediction.

Dallas Stars Recap

The Dallas Stars come into this game looking to build on their 4-3 win over St. Louis last time out to sit at 30-14-9 this season. After this game, Dallas will head on the road for a game against Utah.

Stars Win Back-To-Back Games

Mikko Rantanen leads the Stars in scoring with 64 points along with 19 goals and a team-high 45 assists while Jason Robertson has 62 points with a team-high 30 goals and 32 assists this season. Wyatt Johnston has 57 points with 27 goals and 30 assists and Miro Heiskanen has 41 points with 34 assists as well this season. Roope Hintz has 41 points with 15 goals and 26 assists. Jake Oettinger has gone 20-10-4 with a 2.66 GAA and a .902 save percentage in goal for Dallas while Casey DeSmith has gone 10-4-5 with a 2.39 GAA and a .913 save percentage so far this season.

Vegas Golden Knights Recap

The Vegas Golden Knights come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-2 OT loss at the hands of Montreal last time out to sit at 25-14-13 this season. After this game, Vegas will take on Seattle at home.

Golden Knights Drop 4 Of Last 5

Jack Eichel leads Vegas with 61 points coming on 19 goals and 42 assists. Mitch Marner has 52 points with 12 goals and 40 assists while Pavel Dorofeyev has 38 points with 22 goals and Ivan Barbashev has 35 points with 12 goals and 23 assists. Tomas Hertl’s added 44 points with 21 goals and 23 assists. Mark Stone also has 52 points with 20 goals and 32 assists. In goal for Vegas so far this season, Adin Hill is 3-2-2 with a 3.53 GAA and an .856 save percentage while Akira Schmid is 15-5-6 with a 2.53 GAA and an .895 save percentage this season. Carter Hart is also 5-3-3 with a 3.28 GAA and an .871 save percentage so far this season.

Dallas Stars @ Vegas Golden Knights Betting Trends: January 29, 2026

Why the Vegas Golden Knights will win

• The Golden Knights have won each of their last five games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Stars have lost three of their last four road games.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 10 road games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Golden Knights have covered the puck line in 12 of their last 14 games against the Stars.
• The Golden Knights have won the third period in each of their last eight night games at T-Mobile Arena when trailing after the second period.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Golden Knights have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
• The underdogs have won four of the Golden Knights’ last five games.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last 11 games as underdogs against the Golden Knights.
• The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in 11 of their last 13 home games after coming off overtime.
• The Golden Knights have lost the first period in each of their last seven games after coming off overtime.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Golden Knights’ last six games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the last six Thursday games at T-Mobile Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the Stars’ last five road games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last 15 road games against Western Conference opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Golden Knights’ last 11 home games against opponents on a winning streak.

Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Facts

• Mark Stone has scored a goal in each of the Golden Knights’ last seven games against Central Division opponents.
• Jack Eichel has recorded at least one assist in each of the Golden Knights’ last 11 Thursday games.
• Pavel Dorofeyev ranks 2nd in the league for Power Play Goals (13) this season.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Jason Robertson has scored at least one goal in each of the Stars’ last four games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
• Wyatt Johnston has recorded an assist in each of the Stars’ last four games against Western Conference opponents.
• Wyatt Johnston ranks 1st in the league for Power Play Goals (17) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Vegas Golden Knights rank 5th in the league in power play percentage this season (25.48%).
• The Vegas Golden Knights rank 8th in the league for goals per game this season (3.31).
• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (29.87%).
• The Dallas Stars rank 5th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.72).

Dallas Stars vs. Vegas Golden Knights Prediction

I’m on Dallas here. I get why Vegas is tempting as this home ice environment is still electric. The problem is that Vegas is so up and down that it’s hard to trust this team on a game-to-game basis and Dallas is starting to pick it up again, playing up to their level that we’re used to seeing from them. I think Dallas gets it done here so give me the Stars.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Dallas +115