Colorado Avalanche vs Washington Capitals Prediction 3/22/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Avalanche vs Capitals Prediction for this NHL game on Sunday, March 22nd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Washington Capitals Preview

The Capitals have 78 points this season with a 35-27-8 record, and are 35-35 ATS and 30-38 in over/under. They have a 22-11-4 home record and a 13-16-4 road record and are sitting 5th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 2-1 home win over the Devils, and their previous three games were a 4-1 home win over the Senators, a 3-2 home shootout loss to the Bruins, and a 2-1 road win over the Sabres.

Offensively, the Capitals are averaging 3.10 goals per game and are scoring 16.5% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.84 goals per game and are killing 79.9% of their opponent’s power plays.

Alex Ovechkin leads the Capitals with 52 points, while Tom Wilson leads the team in goals with 25, and Dylan Strome leads the team in assists with 34. Logan Thompson is the starting goalie for the Capitals, and he has a 24-19-5 record, with 2.36 GAA and .915 SV%. Charlie Lindgren is the backup goalie and he has a 9-7-3 record, with 3.29 GAA and .886 SV%.

Colorado Avalanche Preview

The Avalanche have 100 points this season with a 45-13-10 record, and are 35-33 ATS and 29-37 in over/under. They have a 23-6-5 home record and a 22-7-5 road record and are sitting 1st in the Central Division. They are coming off a 4-1 road win over the Blackhawks, and their previous three games were a 2-1 home shootout loss to the Stars, a 7-2 home loss to the Penguins, and a 3-1 road loss to the Jets.

Offensively, the Avalanche are averaging 3.69 goals per game and are scoring 16.7% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.46 goals per game and are killing 82.9% of their opponent’s power plays.

Nathan MacKinnon leads the Avalanche with 114 points and 45 goals, adding a team-high 69 assists. Scott Wedgewood is the starting goalie for the Avalanche, and he has a 25-5-6 record, with 2.19 GAA and .916 SV%. Mackenzie Blackwood is the backup goalie and he has a 19-8-1 record, with 2.43 GAA and .905 SV%.

Colorado Avalanche @ Washington Capitals Betting Trends: March 22, 2026

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Capitals’ last five games.
• The Avalanche have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
• The Capitals have covered the puck line in each of their last nine games as home underdogs following a win.
• The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six day games following a road win.
• The Avalanche have lost the third period in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents when tied after the second period.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The Avalanche have won nine of their last 10 day games.
• The Capitals have lost each of their last four day games.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games following a win.
• The road team has covered the puck line in six of the Avalanche’s last seven games.
• The Capitals have lost the second period in each of their last six games against Central Division opponents when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Capitals’ last seven games as home underdogs following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Eight of the Avalanche’s last nine day games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last 10 day games at Capital One Arena.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last four games against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Pierre-Luc Dubois has scored a goal in five of his last six home appearances against Central Division opponents.
• Rasmus Sandin has recorded at least one assist in each of the Capitals’ last six day games at Capital One Arena.
• Connor McMichael has recorded three blocks against the Avalanche this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Martin Necas has scored a goal in each of the Avalanche’s last seven road games.
• Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one assist in each of his last seven appearances in road games.
• Nathan MacKinnon ranks 1st in the league for Goals (45) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Washington Capitals rank 30th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.50%).
• The Washington Capitals rank 7th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.84).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals per game this season (3.69).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals against per game this season (2.46).

Avalanche vs Capitals Prediction

The Avalanche won their previous meeting against the Capitals this season by 5-2 at home and are 6-1 in their last 7 meetings.

In this Avalanche vs Capitals Prediction, the Avalanche are coming as -171 road favorites. The Avalanche are coming off a win that ended their previous three-game losing streak while the Capitals have back-to-back wins and have allowed just one goal in three of their last four games. Both teams are 12-1-1 to the under in their last 14 games combined so I expect another low-scoring affair today. Take the under 6 goals in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Umder 6