Jan 25, 2026; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Colorado Avalanche forward Nathan MacKinnon (29) carries the puck against the Toronto Maple Leafs during the second period at Scotiabank Arena. Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images
John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images

Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators Prediction 1/28/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Colorado Avalanche Ottawa Senators
Team Records 35-6-9 24-21-7
Where Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON
When Wednesday, January 28, 2026
Time 07:30 PM EST
TV ESPN+

The Colorado Avalanche and the Ottawa Senators meet Wednesday in NHL action from the Canadian Tire Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Colorado Avalanche vs. Ottawa Senators prediction.

Colorado Avalanche Recap

The Colorado Avalanche come into this game looking to add on to their 4-1 win over Toronto last time out to sit at 35-6-9 this season. After this game, Colorado will head on the road for a game against the Montreal Canadiens.

Avalanche Snap Two-Game Skid

Nathan MacKinnon leads the Avalanche with 88 points including a team-high 38 goals and 50 assists while Cale Makar has 56 points with 15 goals and 41 assists. Martin Necas has 62 points with 22 goals and 40 assists while Artturi Lehkonen has 38 points with 17 goals and 21 assists. Gabriel Landeskog has 22 points with 7 goals and 15 assists. Brock Nelson also has 45 points with 27 goals and 18 assists. Scott Wedgewood has posted a 20-3-5 record with a 2.14 GAA and a .918 save percentage Mackenzie Blackwood is 14-3-1 with a 2.41 GAA and a .911 save percentage this season in goal for Colorado.

Ottawa Senators Recap

The Ottawa Senators come into this game looking to add on to their 7-1 win over Vegas last time out to sit at 24-21-7 this season. After this game, Ottawa will head home for a game against the New Jersey Devils.

Senators Snap Two-Game Slide

Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 53 points coming on a team-high 23 goals and 30 assists while Drake Batherson has 44 points with 19 goals and 25 assists. Shane Pinto has 26 points with 14 goals and 12 assists while Dylan Cozens has 40 points with 17 goals and 23 assists. Claude Giroux has 36 points with 9 goals and 27 assists, Brady Tkachuk has 32 points with 12 goals and 20 assists and Jake Sanderson has 41 points with 10 goals and 31 assists. Linus Ullmark has gone 14-8-5 with a 2.86 GAA and an .884 save percentage in goal for Ottawa while Leevi Merilainen has gone 8-10-1 with a 3.51 GAA and an .860 save percentage as well this season. James Reimer has also gone 1-2-1 with a 3.32 GAA and an .871 save percentage this season.

Colorado Avalanche @ Ottawa Senators Betting Trends: January 28, 2026

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

  • The Senators have won five of their last six games as home underdogs following a win.
  • The Avalanche have lost four of their last six games as favorites.
  • The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six road games following a road win.
  • The Senators have covered the puck line in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs following a home win.
  • In each of the last six games between the Avalanche and Senators, the team trailing after the second period has won the third period.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

  • The Avalanche have won each of their last seven games against the Senators.
  • The Senators have lost four of their last five night games at Canadian Tire Centre following a home win.
  • The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six home games.
  • The road team has covered the puck line in five of the Avalanche’s last six games.
  • The Avalanche have won the second period in each of their last five games against the Senators when leading after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Eight of the last nine games between the Avalanche and Senators have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Avalanche’s last five road games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last 10 games following a win.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in 14 of the Avalanche’s last 15 games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

  • Jake Sanderson has recorded an assist in each of the Senators’ last four games against Central Division opponents.
  • Jake Sanderson has recorded three hits against the Avalanche this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

  • Brock Nelson has scored at least one goal in seven of the Avalanche’s last eight games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Cale Makar has recorded at least one assist in each of the Avalanche’s last seven games against the Senators.
  • Nathan MacKinnon ranks 1st in the league for Goals (38) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Ottawa Senators rank 30th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (72.15%).
  • The Ottawa Senators rank 26th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.35).
  • The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals per game this season (3.94).
  • The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals against per game this season (2.34).

Colorado Avalanche vs. Ottawa Senators Prediction

I’m on Colorado here. I just think that the Avalanche are the better team here by a fair margin, and I think that the Senators come back down to earth a bit here after that blowout win over Vegas last time out. Give me Colorado here as I think the Avalanche go on a bit of a run here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Colorado -160

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