Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 11/26/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

The Calgary Flames and the Tampa Bay Lightning meet Wednesday in NHL action from the Benchmark International Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Calgary Flames vs. Tampa Bay Lightning prediction.

Calgary Flames Recap

The Calgary Flames come into this game looking to add on to their 5-2 win over the Vancouver Canucks last time out to sit at 8-13-3 this season. After this game, Calgary will head on the road again to take on the Florida Panthers.

Flames Win 3 In A Row

Nazem Kadri leads the Flames with 18 points including 4 goals and a team-high 14 assists while Jonathan Huberdeau has 12 points with 4 goals and 8 assists and Morgan Frost has 13 points with 8 assists. Joel Farabee has 10 points with 5 goals and 5 assists while Mikael Backlund has 13 points with 4 goals and 9 assists and Blake Coleman has 10 points with 8 goals as well this season. Matt Coronato has 14 points with 8 goals and 6 assists and Rasmus Andersson has 16 points with 5 goals and 11 assists as well this season. In goal for the Flames, Dustin Wolf has gone 6-11-2 with a 3.02 GAA and an .895 save percentage so far this season while Devin Cooley is 2-2-1 with a 1.81 GAA and a .935 save percentage so far this season. 

Tampa Bay Lightning Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this game looking to add on to their 3-0 win over the Philadelphia Flyers last time out to improve to 13-7-2 this season. After this game, Tampa Bay will head on the road for a game against the Detroit Red Wings.

Lightning Win 4 Straight

Nikita Kucherov leads the Lightning in scoring with 25 points including 10 goals and 15 assists while Brandon Hagel has 22 points with 11 goals and 11 assists and Jake Guentzel has 22 points with a team-high 12 goals and 10 assists. Victor Hedman has a team-high 12 assists and Anthony Cirelli has 16 points with 9 goals and 7 assists. Brayden Point’s also added 11 points with 3 goals and 8 assists as well on the year. Andrei Vasilevskiy has gone 9-5-2 with a 2.36 GAA and a .913 save percentage while Jonas Johansson is 4-2 with a 3.22 GAA and an .893 save percentage this season.

Calgary Flames @ Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends: November 26, 2025

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Lightning have won each of their last eight home games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Flames have lost nine of their last 10 road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last four games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five night games at Benchmark International Arena.
• The Lightning have won the third period in eight of their last nine home games against Pacific Division opponents when trailing after the second period.

Why the Calgary Flames will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Flames’ last four games.
• The Lightning have lost each of their last three Wednesday games as favorites.
• The road team has covered the puck line in 15 of the Lightning’s last 17 games.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in 13 of their last 15 home games.
• The underdogs have won the first period in each of the Flames’ last four games.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Flames’ last four road games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Lightning’s last six Wednesday games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Eight of the last nine Wednesday night games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last eight Wednesday games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Flames’ last three games as road underdogs.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Jake Guentzel has scored at least one goal in five of the Lightning’s last six home games.
• Victor Hedman has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight Wednesday home appearances.
• Victor Hedman has recorded at least one point in each of his last nine Wednesday home appearances.
• Anthony Cirelli ranks 1st amongst qualified players for shooting percentage (30.0%) this season.

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

• Matthew Coronato has scored a goal in four of the Flames’ last five games.
• Rasmus Andersson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Flames’ last five games.
• Blake Coleman has recorded at least one point in eight of his last nine appearances against former teams.
• Jonathan Huberdeau has scored 19 career goals against the Lightning – most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 2nd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (87.50%).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of five teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
• The Calgary Flames rank 31st in the league for goals per game this season (2.38).
• The Calgary Flames rank 31st in the league in power play percentage this season (13.41%).

Calgary Flames vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

I’m on the Lightning here. I just think that Calgary’s run is unsustainable and the Lightning have been rounding into the form we’re used to seeing out of this team with their form in the last couple of weeks. Tampa Bay is simply the better team by a mile here and at home is where we usually see the Bolts at their best. Give me Tampa Bay here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Tampa Bay -205