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Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers Prediction 2/28/25 NHL Picks

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New York Rangers (29-25-4) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (36-20-2)

February 28, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: New York Rangers +100 / Toronto Maple Leafs -120 — Over/Under: 6.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Toronto Maple Leafs and New York Rangers meet Friday in NHL action at Madison Square Garden. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers Pick.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview 

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Bruins and Blackhawks, and they play the Penguins, Sharks, Golden Knights, and Avalanche next. The Maple Leafs have won six of their last seven games, and five of those wins have come on the road. 

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.19 goals per game and are scoring 23.1 percent of their power play opportunities. William Nylander leads Toronto with 33 shots on goal, Mitch Marner has 55 shots on goal and Auston Matthews has 171 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.84 goals per game and are killing 79.2 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anthony Stolarz has allowed 43 goals on 577 shots faced, and Joseph Woll has given up 80 goals on 884 shots.

New York Rangers Betting Preview 

The New York Rangers beat the Penguins and Islanders, and they play the Predators, Islanders, and Capitals next. The Rangers have won five straight games when scoring more than two goals. 

The New York Rangers are averaging 3.03 goals per game and are scoring 21.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Artemi Panarin leads New York with 23 goals, Adam Fox has 43 assists, and Vincent Trocheck has 148 shots on goal. Defensively, the New York Rangers are allowing 3.1 goals per game and are killing 82.4 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Igor Shesterkin has allowed 116 goals on 1,227 shots faced, and Jonathan Quick has given up 53 goals on 515 shots.

Why the New York Rangers will win

  • The underdogs have won nine of the last 10 games between the Maple Leafs and Rangers at Madison Square Garden.
  • The Maple Leafs have lost two of their last three games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Rangers have covered the puck line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs against the Maple Leafs.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • The Maple Leafs have lost the second period in each of their last four night games at Madison Square Garden.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

  • The Maple Leafs have won each of their last seven night games after coming off overtime.
  • The Rangers have lost seven of their last eight games at Madison Square Garden following a road win.
  • The road team has covered the puck line in each of the last six games between the Maple Leafs and Rangers.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games at Madison Square Garden following a road win.
  • The Rangers have lost the second period in each of their last four home games against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the first period.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Rangers rank 3rd in the league for Period 3 goals allowed per game this season (0.86).
  • The New York Rangers rank 29th in the league for shots against per game this season (30.7).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of only three teams to win 6+ games when trailing after Period 2 this season.
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of only four teams to win a game when trailing by 3 or more goals after Period 1 this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers Injury Report 

The New York Rangers will be without Adam Edstrom and Adam Fox. Chris Kreider, K’Andre Miller, and JT Miller are questionable for the Rangers.

The Maple Leafs won’t have Connor Dewar, Chris Tanev, and Jani Hakanpaa. Max Pacioretty is questionable for the Maple Leafs.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers Prediction

The New York Rangers are doing this thing again where they pick and choose when to show up and their defense falls apart out of nowhere. The Maple Leafs are playing some of their best hockey of the season with wins in six of their last seven games. The Maple Leafs are hot offensively and if that continues, this is likely a tough spot for the Rangers. I’m not in the business of stepping in front of the Maple Leafs in their current form. Cheap price, give me the Maple Leafs on the road to keep things rolling.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -120

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