Florida Panthers vs Washington Capitals Prediction 2/4/25 NHL Picks

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals are 34-11-7 this season after they lost to Winnipeg in overtime by a score of 5-4 in their last game. Washington trailed 4-2 in the third period, but they were able to tie the game late in the third, before losing in overtime. The Capitals were outshot by a total of 30-29, won 40% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Washington got goals from Dubois, Ovechkin, Raddysh, and Wilson, while Thompson stopped 25 out of 30 shots in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Capitals lost to the Senators by a score of 5-4 but did beat the Flames by a score of 3-1 before that. Washington has lost three of their last four games and they are currently first in the Metro standings with 75 points. Washington has scored 3.50 goals per game and they have allowed 2.44 goals against per game, while also going 23% on the power play and 83.4% on the penalty kill this season. Dylan Strome has led Washington with 15 goals, 35 assists, and 94 shots on goal, while Aliaksei Protas has added 21 goals, 22 assists, and 93 shots on goal. Charlie Lindgren is 11-9-3 with a 2.61 goals-against average and a .903 save percentage this year. 

Why the Capitals will beat the Panthers

• The Capitals have won five of their last six games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Panthers have lost three of their last five games as road favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Capitals have covered the puck line in each of their last six games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Panthers have failed to cover the puck line in 14 of their last 18 games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Panthers have lost the second period in four of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Panthers' last eight night games against the Capitals following a win have gone OVER the total goal line.
• Ten of the Capitals' last 12 games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 3' market has hit in each of the Panthers' last 10 games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 2' market has hit in 10 of the last 11 games between the Panthers and Capitals at Capital One Arena.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• John Carlson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Capitals' last six Tuesday games against Eastern Conference opponents at Capital One Arena.
• Alex Ovechkin has scored at least one goal in five of his last six appearances with the Capitals as underdogs.
• Pierre-Luc Dubois has recorded at least one point in 10 of the Capitals' last 11 games at Capital One Arena.

Florida Panthers Player Prop Facts

• Sam Reinhart has scored the last goal in each of the Panthers' last three night games at Capital One Arena.
• Matthew Tkachuk has scored a goal in each of the Panthers' last four games as favorites.
• Matthew Tkachuk has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven appearances with the Panthers as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Aleksander Barkov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Panthers' last six games as road favorites.

Florida Panthers vs Washington Capitals Prediction 

Washington comes into this matchup with one of the best records in the NHL so far this season, but they have lost three of their last four games. The Capitals are 16-4-5 at home this season, while the Panthers are 16-10-1 on the road. Florida has won three games in a row and they have scored at least five goals in three of their last five. Both of these teams have been very good defensively and they both have elite goaltending, but I have to side with Washington here. I think either team could win this game, so I will take the home team at even odds.