Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction NHL Picks 11/29/24

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are 13-8-0 this season after they lost to Chicago by a score of 6-2 in their last game. Dallas allowed the first four goals in the game and never got back into it. The Stars outshot Chicago by a total of 27-26, won 63.5% of the face-offs, and went 1-4 on the power play in the game. Dallas got goals from Blackwell and Duchene, while DeSmith stopped 20 out of 26 shots in the loss. 

Prior to that game, the Stars lost to Carolina by a score of 6-4 but did beat Tampa Bay and San Jose before that. Dallas has scored 3.38 goals per game and they have allowed 2.67 goals against per game, while also going 16.7% on the power play and 81.7% on the penalty kill this season. Matt Duchene has led Dallas with 12 goals, 14 assists, and 37 shots on goal, while Jake Oettinger is 11-4-0 with a 2.43 goals-against average and a .912 save percentage this year. 

Why the Avalanche will beat the Stars

• The underdogs have won six of the last seven games between the Avalanche and Stars.
• The Avalanche have covered the puck line in nine of their last 10 games as road underdogs following an overtime win.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last three games against Central Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Eight of the Avalanche's last nine night games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goal line.
• Each of the last five night games between the Avalanche and Stars at American Airlines Center have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Eight of the last 10 games between two teams from the Central Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in 14 of the Avalanche's last 15 games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in each of the Stars' last five games.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Matt Duchene has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight home appearances against former teams.
• Matt Duchene has recorded at least one point in 10 of his last 11 home appearances against former teams.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Valeri Nichushkin has recorded at least one point in each of his last six road appearances against Western Conference opponents.
• Valeri Nichushkin has scored at least one goal in seven of his last eight appearances against Central Division opponents.
• Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one assist in 10 of the Avalanche's last 12 games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dallas Stars rank 8th in the league for goals per game this season (3.38).
• The Dallas Stars rank T4th in the league for power-play goals against this season (11).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 5th in the league in power play percentage this season (28.17%).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 32nd in the league in save percentage this season (.858).

Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction 

Colorado comes into this matchup after winning seven of their last nine games, while Dallas has lost two games in a row and has allowed six goals in each loss. The Stars are 8-2-0 at home, while the Avalanche are 6-4-0 at home. Dallas has had some issues on the road this season, but they have been dominant at home. The Avalanche started the season pretty poorly, but they have bounced back and they are playing some very solid hockey right now. I know I probably shouldn’t go against Dallas at home, but I like what I am seeing from this Colorado group right now. Take the Avs here.