Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction NHL Picks 11/27/24

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Tampa Bay Lightning (11-7-2) vs Washington Capitals (14-6-1)

November 27, 2024 at 07:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -145 / Washington Capitals +120 — Over/Under: 7.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Washington Capitals and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Wednesday in NHL action at the Acrisure Arena. Here’s a Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction. This article will include a Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning Pick.

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals beat the Panthers, lost to the Devils, and they play the Islanders and Devils next. The Washington Capitals are averaging 4.05 goals per game and are scoring on 17.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Alex Ovechkin leads Washington with 15 goals, Dylan Strome has 23 assists and Connor McMichael has 62 shots on goal. Defensively, the Washington Capitals are allowing 2.67 goals per game and are killing 85.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Charlie Lindgren has allowed 26 goals on 263 shots faced, and Logan Thompson has given up 27 goals on 325 shots.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning lost to the Stars, beat the Avalanche, and they play the Predators and Maple Leafs next. The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.8 goals per game and are scoring on 23 percent of their power play opportunities. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with 12 goals, Brandon Hagel has 17 assists and Victor Hedman has 50 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 3 goals per game and are killing 77.4 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 37 goals on 435 shots faced, and Jonas Johansson has given up 18 goals on 125 shots.

Why the Washington Capitals will win

  • The Capitals have won each of their last four games as road underdogs.
  • The Lightning have lost four of their last six games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Capitals have covered the puck line in each of their last six games.
  • The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games as favorites following a home win.
  • The Lightning have lost the second period in three of their last four games as favorites following a win.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

  • Brayden Point has scored at least one goal in each of his last five appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one point in each of the Lightning’s last 17 games against Eastern Conference opponents at Amalie Arena.
  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in 10 of the Lightning’s last 11 games against Eastern Conference opponents at Amalie Arena.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

  • Dylan Strome has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Capitals’ last nine road games.
  • Alex Ovechkin has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances in road games.
  • Alex Ovechkin has recorded at least one point in 10 of his last 11 appearances.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 2nd in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (1.30).
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T3rd in the league in short-handed goals this season (3).
  • The Washington Capitals are one of five teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
  • The Washington Capitals rank 7th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.67).

Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

The Tampa Bay Lightning are getting the benefit of the doubt because of their reputation, and they’re at home. However, we’re getting plus money with the Capitals, the team that’s playing the better hockey at the moment. The Caps also shut out the Lightning last month. The Lightning have played their best hockey by far at home this season, but they’ve been hit or miss overall and one bad night against this Caps offense, and that’s all she wrote. I’ll take the Capitals. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: Washington Capitals +120

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