Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction NHL Picks 11/23/24

In this article, we will formulate a Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, November 23rd at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are 12-6-0 this year after they defeated San Jose by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Dallas had their lead cut to 3-2 in the third period, but they scored two empty net goals for the win. The Stars outshot San Jose by a total of 31-23, won 54.7% of the face-offs, and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. Dallas got goals from Benn, Dadonov, Hintz, Johnston, and Robertson, while Oettinger stopped 21 out of 23 shots in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Stars lost to Anaheim by a score of 4-2 but did beat Minnesota, Boston, and Pittsburgh before that. Dallas has scored 3.39 goals per game and they have allowed 2.33 goals against per game, while also going 16.1% on the power play and 84.9% on the penalty kill this season. Matt Duchene has led Dallas with 10 goals, 11 assists, and 31 shots on goal, while Jake Oettinger is 10-3-0 with a 2.25 goals-against average and a .917 save percentage this year. 

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 10-6-2 this season after they lost to Columbus by a score of 7-6 in overtime in their last game. Tampa Bay led 3-0 in the first period, but they needed a late goal in the third to force overtime, before picking up the loss. The Lightning got goals from Atkinson, Chaffee, Cirelli, Geekie, Hagel, and Point, while Johansson stopped 36 out of 43 shots in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Lightning won three games in a row against Pittsburgh, New Jersey, and Winnipeg. Tampa Bay has scored 3.67 goals per game and they have allowed 3.00 goals against per game, while also going 21.4% on the power play and 76.8% on the penalty kill this season. Nikita Kucherov has led Tampa Bay with 11 goals, 18 assists, and 71 shots on goal, while Andrei Vasilevskiy is 9-5-1 with a 2.13 goals-against average and a .919 save percentage this year. 

Why the Lightning will beat the Stars

• The Lightning have won three of their last four games as home underdogs.
• The Stars have lost three of their last four games as road favorites following a win.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites following a home win.
• The home team has covered the puck line in seven of the Lightning’s last eight games.
• The Stars have lost the second period in three of their last four road games following a home win.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Lightning’s last five night games at Amalie Arena has gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Five of the Stars’ last six games as road favorites following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last seven games as favorites against the Lightning.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last 15 Saturday night games.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Brayden Point has scored a goal in each of his last five appearances with the Lightning as underdogs.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last nine Saturday home games.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one point in 22 of the Lightning’s last 23 home games.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Seguin has recorded at least one point in seven of his last eight appearances with the Stars as favorites.
• Matt Duchene has scored a goal in three of the Stars’ last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Matt Duchene has recorded an assist in each of the Stars’ last three games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.

Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 

Dallas comes into this matchup in third place in the Central Division and they have won four of their last five games. The Stars are 4-4-0 on the road, while the Lightning are 6-1-1 at home. Tampa Bay has won three of their last four games but played pretty poor defense against Columbus in their last game. Dallas is one of the best teams in the NHL, but Tampa Bay has been great on home ice. Take the Lightning here.