New England Patriots vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction 8/22/2026 Picks

The Philadelphia Eagles and the New England Patriots meet Saturday in NFL action from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough. Here’s an Eagles vs Patriots prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Eagles vs Patriots pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview

Philadelphia got off to an 8-2 start through 10 games last year, but then hit a three-game skid. The good news is that the team would eventually power out another NFC East championship, giving them a repeat title for the first time since 2004. The Eagles’ playoff run didn’t last long though, as they took a Wildcard Playoffs defeat by the San Francisco 49ers 23-19 to end their campaign.

In their 2026 preseason debut last Saturday versus the Baltimore Ravens, the Eagles were held to a cosmetic touchdown in the fourth quarter during a 24-7 road loss. QB Andy Dalton finished 3-of-6 for 20 yards, and Tanner McKee went 6-of-10 for 35 yards. Cole Payton added 4-of-9 for 37 yards and the score. Darius Cooper led the receivers on 21 yards off two catches.

New England Patriots Betting Preview

Over on the Patriots’ side, they had a stellar campaign themselves last year but were stopped just short of reaching the top of the mountain. After a 14-3 stretch in the regular season and another AFC East title (their first since 2019), New England beat the Chargers, Texans and Broncos on the way to the Super Bowl. In that championship game however, New England took a 29-13 loss to the Seattle Seahawks.

In their first preseason appearance of the 2026 season, the Patriots took on the Indianapolis Colts. New England was up 13-7 by the end of the third quarter but eventually had to settle for a 13-13 tie. QB Tommy DeVito finished with a 13-of-22 line for 138 yards and a TD, while Kobe Prentice had three catches for 40 yards. Jamarion Miller led the rush on 14 totes for 55 yards.

Philadelphia Eagles @ New England Patriots Betting Trends 

Why the Philadelphia Eagles will win

• The Eagles have won nine of their last 10 season openers.
• The Eagles have covered the spread in four of their last five games as favorites without Grant Calcaterra.
• The Eagles have won the first quarter in six of their last eight season openers against NFC East opponents.
• The Eagles have won the first half in eight of their last nine Sunday games as favorites.

Philadelphia Eagles Player Prop Facts

• Saquon Barkley has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last seven regular season appearances against the Commanders.
• Saquon Barkley has recorded 118+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six regular season appearances against the Commanders.
• Jalen Hurts has recorded 221+ passing yards in each of his last three home appearances against the Commanders.
• Dallas Goedert has recorded 44+ receiving yards in six of his last seven home appearances against NFC East opponents.
• Jalen Hurts has recorded 35+ rushing yards in each of the Eagles’ last six September games at Lincoln Financial Field.
• Saquon Barkley has scored two touchdowns in three of his last four regular season appearances against the Commanders.
• Jalen Hurts has recorded 22+ completions in three of his last four appearances against NFC East opponents.
• Jalen Hurts threw the equal-most interceptions in a single game last season (4 vs Chargers, Week 14).

Matchup/League Facts

• Eagles – two different players recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
• The Eagles ranked 1st in the NFL in red zone percentage (70.5%) last season.

Why the New England Patriots will win

• The Patriots have won each of their last four games as road underdogs.
• The Patriots have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs without Rhamondre Stevenson.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Patriots’ last eight season openers have gone UNDER the total points line.

New England Patriots Player Prop Facts

• Rhamondre Stevenson has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Patriots’ last three regular season games.
• TreVeyon Henderson has recorded 53+ rushing and receiving yards in nine of the Patriots’ last 10 regular season games.
• Drake Maye has recorded 230+ passing yards in each of the Patriots’ last five games as road underdogs.
• Demario Douglas has recorded 11+ receiving yards in each of the Patriots’ last six games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
• TreVeyon Henderson has recorded 27+ rushing yards in each of the Patriots’ last five regular season games against NFC opponents.
• Drake Maye ranked 1st amongst qualified players for passer rating (113.5) last season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Patriots – two different players recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
• Patriots – seven different players recorded 70+ receiving yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.

Eagles vs Patriots Prediction

I’ll stay with New England, but anything can happen in preseason. In their matchup with Indy last week, the Pats weren’t exactly explosive on offense, notching just 16 first downs and a 5-of-18 success rate on third downs. The defense gave up 355 yards and 21 first downs on the other side, however they also bagged four takeaways and a 1-of-8 rate on third downs. There are things to sharpen up on both sides, but also plenty to build upon. 

As for the Eagles, they didn’t look very good versus the Ravens. Philly gave up 440 yards (298 passing) on defense alongside 31 first downs and 5.8 yards per play. The offense couldn’t stay on the field (18:43 in time of possession), mustering just 159 yards (83 passing), six first downs and an ugly 0-of-9 on third-down tries. The 10 penalties for 96 yards didn’t help either. Philadelphia has a lot of work to do.

Andrew Jett's Pick: New England Patriots +1.5