Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction 9/13/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Commanders vs Eagles Prediction for this NFL Week 1 game on Sunday, September 13th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Philadelphia Eagles Preview

The Eagles finished the preseason with a 0-3 record and were placed 4th in the NFC East. They had a 0-1 home record and a 0-2 road record. They are coming off a 13-30 home defeat by the Bengals, where they were outgained by their opponents 210 to 420 total yards and had 14 first downs. The Eagles had 140 passing yards, 70 rushing yards, while winning the turnover battle by 1-2. They went 6/15 on third down conversions and 1/1 in the red zone.

Offensively in the preseason, the Eagles averaged 13.7 points per game, while allowing 26 points per game defensively. Philadelphia averaged 223.3 total yards per game (144.7 passing and 78.7 rushing), while allowing 416 total yards per game (251.7 passing and 164.3 rushing).

Washington Commanders Preview

The Commanders finished the preseason with a 1-2 record and were placed 3rd in the NFC East. They had a 1-0 home record and a 0-2 road record. They are coming off a 3-41 road defeat by the Ravens, where they were outgained by their opponents 177 to 456 total yards and had 7 first downs. The Commanders had 102 passing yards, 75 rushing yards, while the turnover battle was tied 1-1. They went 1/12 on third down conversions and 0/0 in the red zone.

Offensively in the preseason, the Commanders averaged 12 points per game, while allowing 21.7 points per game defensively. Washington averaged 251.3 total yards per game (156.7 passing and 94.7 rushing), while allowing 320.3 total yards per game (160 passing and 160.3 rushing).

Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles Betting Trends: Week 1

Why the Philadelphia Eagles will win

• The Commanders have lost each of their last seven Week 1 road games against NFC East opponents.
• The Eagles have won 11 of their last 12 home games against NFC East opponents.
• The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games without Terry McLaurin.
• The Eagles have covered the spread in four of their last five games without Grant Calcaterra.
• The Eagles have scored the first touchdown in 19 of their last 21 Sunday games.
• The Commanders have lost the first half in each of their last six road openers.
• The Commanders have lost the first quarter in each of their last six road openers.

Why the Washington Commanders will win

• The Eagles have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NFC opponents.
• The underdogs have won each of the Eagles’ last three games.
• The Eagles have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five September home games against NFC East opponents.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the Eagles’ last four games.
• The road team has won the first half in each of the last five Week 1 games between the Commanders and Eagles.
• The road team has won the first quarter in each of the last four Week 1 games between the Commanders and Eagles.

Total Points Facts

• Nine of the last 10 games between NFC East teams have gone OVER the total points line.
• Eight of the Commanders’ last nine road games in September have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of the last eight games between the Commanders and Eagles have gone OVER the total points line.

Philadelphia Eagles Player Prop Facts

• Saquon Barkley has scored two or more touchdowns in four of his last five appearances against the Commanders.
• Saquon Barkley has recorded 18+ receiving yards in each of his five previous regular season home appearances against the Commanders.
• Saquon Barkley has recorded 118+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances against the Commanders.
• Jalen Hurts has recorded 221+ passing yards in four of his last five home appearances against the Commanders.
• Jalen Hurts has recorded 35+ rushing yards in each of the Eagles’ last six September games at Lincoln Financial Field.
• Jalen Hurts has recorded 19+ completions in each of his last four appearances against NFC opponents.
• Saquon Barkley has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last eight appearances against the Commanders.
• Jalen Hurts had the highest passer rating in a single game (min. 10 ATT) last season (158.3 vs Vikings, Week 7).

Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts

• Terry McLaurin has scored at least one touchdown in eight of his last 10 Sunday road appearances.
• Jayden Daniels has recorded 200+ passing yards in each of his last five September appearances.
• Jayden Daniels has recorded 19+ completions in each of his last five September appearances.
• Rachaad White has recorded 30+ rushing yards in 12 of his last 13 Sunday appearances with his team as a road underdog.
• Dyami Brown has recorded 16+ receiving yards in each of his last eight appearances with Jayden Daniels as the starting quarterback.
• Rachaad White has recorded 42+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Rachaad White ranked 1st in the NFC amongst qualified players for catch rate (88.9%) last season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Eagles – two different players recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
• Eagles – two different players recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
• Commanders – five different players recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
• The Commanders ranked 32nd in the NFL in yards allowed per game (384.3) last season.

Commanders vs Eagles Prediction

In this Commanders vs Eagles Prediction, the Eagles are coming as -5.5 home favorites. Both teams did not look good in the preseason, with the Eagles going winless and the Commanders winning only once. Both offensive lines look bad, as they averaged 25.7 points per game combined and I don’t expect them to turn on the switch and suddenly figure things out offensively, so I expect this to be a low-scoring game. In the six preseason games of both games combined no game had more than 45 total points. Take the under 44.5 in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 44.5