Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction 9/20/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

The Washington Commanders and Dallas Cowboys meet Sunday in NFL action at AT&T Stadium. Here’s a Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys Prediction. This article will include a Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys Pick.

Washington Commanders Betting Preview

The Washington Commanders lost to the Eagles, and they play the Seahawks next. The Washington Commanders look to avoid their first 0-2 start since the 2019 season. Jayden Daniels is completing 52.9 percent of his passes for 164 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Antonio Williams and Stefon Diggs have combined for 119 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Chig Okonkwo has 2 receptions.

The Washington Commanders’ ground game is averaging 132 yards per contest, and Jacory Croskey-Merritt leads the way with 63 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Washington is allowing 24 points and 318 yards per game. Nick Cross leads the Washington Commanders with 8 tackles, Sonny Styles has 1 sack, and Rasul Douglas has 1 pass deflection.

Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview

The Dallas Cowboys lost to the Giants, and they play the Ravens next. The Dallas Cowboys haven’t started 0-2 since the 2010 season. Dak Prescott is completing 64.7 percent of his passes for 175 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. CeeDee Lamb and Javonte Williams have combined for 75 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while George Pickens has 3 receptions.

The Dallas Cowboys ground game is averaging 69 yards per contest, and Javonte Williams leads the way with 41 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Dallas is allowing 28 points and 394 yards per game. Donovan Ezeiruaku leads the Dallas Cowboys with 10 tackles, Caleb Downs has 1 sack, and Cobie Durant has 1 pass deflection.

Why the Dallas Cowboys will win

• The Cowboys have won 22 of their last 23 games as home favorites against NFC East opponents.
• The Commanders have lost eight of their last nine September road games against NFC opponents.
• The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as underdogs without Terry McLaurin.
• The Cowboys have covered the spread in seven of their last eight Sunday games against the Commanders.
• The Cowboys have won the first quarter in each of their last five home games against the Commanders.
• The Cowboys have won the first half in 15 of their last 17 home games against the Commanders following a loss.

Why the Washington Commanders will win

• The Cowboys have lost six of their last seven Sunday games as favorites.
• The underdogs have won four of the Cowboys’ last five games.
• The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven home games without DaRon Bland.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in seven of the Cowboys’ last eight games.
• The underdogs have won the first quarter in each of the Cowboys’ last two Week 2 games.
• The Commanders have won the first half in two of their last three games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).

Total Points Facts

• Nine of the Commanders’ last 10 road games in September have gone OVER the total points line.
• Eight of the Cowboys’ last nine games as home favorites against the Commanders have gone OVER the total points line.
• Nine of the last 12 games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total points line.

Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts

• Dak Prescott has recorded 23+ completions in eight of his last nine appearances with the Cowboys as home favorites against NFC opponents.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 12+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight Week 2 appearances.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 293+ passing yards in each of the Cowboys’ last four September games at AT&T Stadium.
• Javonte Williams has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four appearances against NFC opponents.
• KaVontae Turpin has recorded 10+ receiving yards in each of the Cowboys’ last six home games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• KaVontae Turpin has recorded 12+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Cowboys’ last 13 games at AT&T Stadium.
• Heading into Week 2, Jake Ferguson ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts

• Stefon Diggs has scored at least one touchdown in five of his last six appearances in games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Stefon Diggs has recorded 49+ receiving yards in each of his seven previous appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC East opponents.
• Rachaad White has recorded 22+ rushing yards in 13 of his last 14 Sunday appearances with his team as a road underdog.
• Jayden Daniels has recorded 268+ passing yards in three of his four appearances with the Commanders as underdogs in games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Jayden Daniels has recorded 22+ completions in three of his four appearances with the Commanders as underdogs in games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Stefon Diggs has recorded 49+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his seven previous appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC East opponents.
• Heading into Week 2, Antonio Williams ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 2, the Cowboys rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage against (0.0%) this season.
• Heading into Week 2, the Cowboys rank 32nd in the NFL in 3rd down percentage against (81.8%) this season.
• Heading into Week 2, the Commanders rank T1st in the NFL in red zone percentage (100.0%) this season.
• Heading into Week 2, the Commanders rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage against (0.0%) this season.

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction

The Cowboys are going to be favored because they’re at home and they’re the Cowboys. A super public team. The problem is the Cowboys looked awful against the Giants, and a supposed improved defense didn’t look the part. The Commanders nearly beat the Eagles, and despite the loss, their defense had success against a good offensive line. That’s encouraging moving forward. The Cowboys are the more talented team and should win at home, but based on what we saw from both sides last week, I’ll grab the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Washington Commanders +3.5