Sep 20, 2026; Glendale, Arizona, USA;  Seattle Seahawks quarterback Drew Lock (2) throws in the third quarter against the Arizona Cardinalsat State Farm Stadium.  Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-Imagn Images
IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders Prediction 9/27/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Seattle Seahawks Washington Commanders
Team Records 2-0 0-2
Spread -7.5 -118 +7.5 -102
Moneyline -395 +310
Total Over 40.5 (-102) Under 40.5 (-118)
Where Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD
When Sunday, September 27, 2026
Time 01:00 PM EDT
TV FOX

The Seattle Seahawks and the Washington Commanders meet in week 3 NFL action from Northwest Stadium on Sunday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Commanders prediction.

Seattle Seahawks Recap

The Seattle Seahawks come into this game looking to add on to their 31-7 win over Arizona last time out to sit at 2-0 this season. After this game, the Seahawks will head home for a game against the Los Angeles Chargers.

Seahawks Looking To Stay Unbeaten On Road

Drew Lock has thrown for 422 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions on 72.9% passing while Jadarian Price leads Seattle in rushing with 104 rushing yards and 0 touchdowns so far this season. Emanuel Wilson sits behind Price on the ground with 95 yards and 0 TDs. Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads the Seahawks in receiving with 277 yards on 17 catches along with 4 touchdowns, while Cooper Kupp trails with 55 yards on 4 catches. On defense, Ernest Jones IV has a team-high 21 total tackles, Leonard Williams leads the unit with 2 sacks, and Julian Love leads the team with 2 interceptions (alongside 1 from Nehemiah Pritchett and 1 from Josh Jobe). Seattle’s defense as a whole has combined for 5 sacks and 4 interceptions so far this season.

Washington Commanders Recap

The Washington Commanders come into this game looking to bounce back from a 37-20 loss at the hands of the Dallas Cowboys last time out to sit at 0-2 this season. After this game, Washington will take on the Indianapolis Colts in a matchup at home.

Commanders Looking For First Win

Jayden Daniels has thrown for 260 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions on 56.9% passing while Jacory Croskey-Merritt leads Washington in rushing with 106 rushing yards and 1 touchdown so far this season. Jayden Daniels sits behind Croskey-Merritt on the ground with 100 yards and 0 TDs. Stefon Diggs leads the Commanders in receiving with 102 yards on 9 catches along with 3 touchdowns, while Antonio Williams trails with 88 yards on 7 catches along with 1 touchdown. On defense, Leo Chenal has a team-high 15 total tackles, while Sonny Styles, Odafe Oweh, Frankie Luvu, Javon Kinlaw, and Daron Payne each lead the unit with 1 sack. Washington’s defense as a whole has combined for 5 sacks and 0 interceptions so far this season.

Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders Betting Trends: Week 3


Why the Washington Commanders will win

  • The Commanders have won each of their last seven September home games against NFC West opponents.
  • The Seahawks have lost each of their last four Week 3 road games.
  • The Seahawks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites without Uchenna Nwosu.
  • The Commanders have covered the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs without Marcus Mariota.
  • The Commanders have won the first quarter in four of their last five September home games against NFC West opponents.
  • The home team has won the first half in 19 of the Seahawks’ last 22 Week 3 games.

Why the Seattle Seahawks will win

  • The Seahawks have won each of their last 12 games.
  • The Commanders have lost each of their last six home games without Deatrich Wise Jr..
  • The Seahawks have covered the spread in each of their last seven road games against NFC opponents.
  • The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games without Terry McLaurin.
  • The Commanders have lost the first quarter in each of their last nine games as home underdogs.
  • The Seahawks have scored the first touchdown in each of their last 10 games as favorites against NFC opponents.
  • The Commanders have lost the first half in each of their last seven Sunday games as home underdogs.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Commanders’ last seven games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Nine of the last 10 Sunday games at Northwest Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Eight of the Seahawks’ last nine games as road favorites following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts

  • Terry McLaurin has scored a touchdown in six of his seven appearances with the Commanders as underdogs against teams on a winning streak.
  • Marcus Mariota has recorded 20+ completions in each of his four previous September home appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Rachaad White has recorded 19+ rushing yards in each of his 15 previous appearances with his team as an underdog following a loss.
  • Marcus Mariota has recorded 215+ passing yards in each of his four previous September home appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Stefon Diggs has recorded 37+ receiving yards in each of his 19 previous September appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Stefon Diggs has recorded 37+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 19 previous September appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Heading into Week 3, Rachaad White ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Seattle Seahawks Player Prop Facts

  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba has scored two or more touchdowns in three of the Seahawks’ last four Sunday regular season road games.
  • AJ Barner has scored a touchdown in each of the Seahawks’ last four September road games.
  • Rashid Shaheed has recorded 33+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight September appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Zach Charbonnet has scored the first touchdown in each of his last three regular season appearances with the Seahawks as favorites.
  • Drew Lock has recorded 210+ passing yards in four of his last five appearances as a starter.
  • Rashid Shaheed has recorded 33+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight September appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Zach Charbonnet has recorded 37+ rushing yards in eight of his last nine road appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Drew Lock has recorded 19+ completions in seven of his last eight appearances as a starter.
  • Heading into Week 3, Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranks 1st in the NFL in receiving yards (277) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Heading into Week 3, the Commanders rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage (100.0%) this season.
  • Heading into Week 3, the Commanders rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage against (0.0%) this season.
  • Seahawks – three different players have recorded one interception or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 3.
  • Heading into Week 3, the Seahawks rank 1st in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (124.5) this season.

Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Commanders Prediction

I’m on the Seahawks in this one. Not often that I’ll lay over a TD in a battle of the backups, but Drew Lock is one of the better backups in the league and the Seahawks have a fantastic defense that can make life hell for anyone at the best of times, let alone a Washington team trying to sort through this Jayden Daniels injury. I’ll back Seattle here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Seattle -7.5

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