Rams vs Commanders Prediction 11/8/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

Rams vs Commanders Prediction

In this Rams vs Commanders Prediction, the Rams are coming as -4.5 road favorites. The Rams have been the better team this season and have back-to-back wins both overall and on the road. They have both a better offense and a better defense than the Commanders, who have failed to cover the spread in two of their last three home games and have a bad history against this Rams team, being 2-4 in their last 6 overall meetings and have lost two of their last three meetings in Washington. Both teams are coming off low-scoring games and strong defensive performances, having held their opponents into just 10 and 9 points respectively and are 5-2 to the under in their last 7 games combined and 7-3 to the under in their last 10 head-to-head meetings. Take the under 48 points in this one.

Washington Commanders Preview

The Washington Commanders have a 2-4-1 record this season are sitting on the 3rd place of the NFC East. They have a 2-1-1 home record and are 4-3 against the spread and 4-3 in over/under. They are coming off a 27-10 home win against the Eagles and will face the Giants and the Bengals next.

Offensively, the Commanders average 22.7 points per game, ranking 17th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 26 points per game, which is 26th. Washington averages 327.1 total yards per game (200.6 passing and 126.6 rushing), while allowing 342.1 total yards per game (99.1 rushing and 243 passing). They average 5.2 yards per play, while allowing 5.3 yards per play to opponents. They score on 37.5% of their offensive drives, while averaging 1.93 points per drive. Defensively, they allow opponents to score on 41.3% of drives, while allowing 2.29 points per drive. Offensively, they have turned the ball over 3 times, while defensively, they have forced 10 turnovers, giving them a +7 net turnover margin.

Jayden Daniels leads the Commanders with 976 passing yards with 62.8% completed passes and six touchdowns. Jacory Croskey-Merritt leads the team in rushing yards with 239, while Antonio Williams has 23 receptions for a team-high 259 receiving yards. Defensively, Sonny Styles and Jeremy Reaves have a team-high 54 and 47 total tackles each (26 and 26 of them solo respectively), while Odafe Oweh leads the team in sacks, with 4.

Injury Report:
• Jer’Zhan Newton (IR-R, Pectoral) – Est. return Nov 8
• Treylon Burks (Questionable, Foot) – Est. return Nov 8
• Shy Tuttle (Questionable, Shoulder) – Est. return Nov 8
• John Bates (Questionable, Shoulder) – Est. return Nov 8
• Samuel Cosmi (Questionable, Knee) – Est. return Nov 8

Los Angeles Rams Preview

The Los Angeles Rams have a 4-4 record this season are sitting on the 2nd place of the NFC West. They have a 2-3 home record and are 2-1 on the road and are 4-4 against the spread and 4-4 in over/under. They are coming off a 24-9 home win against the Chargers and will face the Cardinals and the Packers next.

Offensively, the Rams average 24.3 points per game, ranking 10th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 21 points per game, which is 12th. Los Angeles averages 384.4 total yards per game (257.9 passing and 125.5 rushing), while allowing 301.1 total yards per game (109.3 rushing and 191.9 passing). They average 5.8 yards per play, while allowing 4.9 yards per play to opponents. They score on 36.4% of their offensive drives, while averaging 2.23 points per drive. Defensively, they allow opponents to score on 41.7% of drives, while allowing 1.92 points per drive. Offensively, they have turned the ball over 8 times, while defensively, they have forced 8 turnovers, giving them a 0 net turnover margin.

Matthew Stafford leads the Rams with 2146 passing yards with 67.3% completed passes and fifteen touchdowns. Kyren Williams leads the team in rushing yards with 548, while Puka Nacua has 56 receptions for a team-high 565 receiving yards. Defensively, Nathan Landman and Quentin Lake have a team-high 59 and 56 total tackles each (34 and 34 of them solo respectively), while Byron Young leads the team in sacks, with 4.5.

Injury Report:
• Trent McDuffie (Questionable, Back) – Est. return Nov 8
• Kam Curl (Questionable, Foot) – Est. return Nov 8
• Jordan Whittington (Questionable, Back) – Est. return Nov 8
• Ronnie Rivers (IR-R, Calf) – Est. return Nov 8
• Jaylen Watson (Out, Shoulder) – Est. return Feb 15

Los Angeles Rams @ Washington Commanders Betting Trends: Week 9

Why the Washington Commanders will win

• The Rams have lost four of their last six games as favorites without Tutu Atwell.
• The Commanders have won four of their last five day games at Northwest Stadium following a home win.
• The Rams have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as favorites without Tutu Atwell.
• The Commanders have covered the spread in six of their last seven games as underdogs without Marcus Mariota.
• The Rams have lost the first quarter in each of their last two games at Northwest Stadium against teams that held a losing record.
• The Rams have lost the first half in three of their last four day games against NFC opponents.

Why the Los Angeles Rams will win

• The Commanders have lost each of their last six home games without Austin Ekeler.
• The road team has won each of the Commanders’ last five Week 9 games.
• The Rams have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 Sunday day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four Week 9 home games.
• The road team has won the first quarter in six of the Commanders’ last seven Week 9 games.
• The Rams have won the first half in each of their last six games in November.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Commanders’ last eight games played as underdogs on the East Coast have gone OVER the total points line.
• Ten of the Rams’ last 11 road games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the last four Sunday day games at Northwest Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts

• Austin Ekeler has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four appearances in day games against NFC West opponents.
• Austin Ekeler has recorded 11+ receiving yards in 14 of his last 15 appearances with his team as an underdog following a win.
• Austin Ekeler has recorded 20+ rushing yards in each of his seven previous appearances in day games against NFC West opponents.
• Austin Ekeler has recorded 40+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 17 Sunday regular season appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Heading into Week 9, Rachaad White ranks T2nd in the NFC amongst qualified players for catch rate (88.9%) this season.

Los Angeles Rams Player Prop Facts

• Kyren Williams has recorded 69+ rushing yards in each of the Rams’ last nine regular season games as road favorites against NFC opponents.
• Kyren Williams has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Rams’ last seven day games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
• Tutu Atwell has recorded 13+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his six previous November road appearances.
• Tutu Atwell has recorded 13+ receiving yards in each of his six previous November appearances against NFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 9, Quentin Lake ranks T2nd in the NFL in interceptions (3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 9, the Commanders rank 31st in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (31.9%) this season.
• Commanders – one of only two teams with 3+ players to record 200+ rushing yards this season (Rachaad White, Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Jayden Daniels), heading into Week 9.
• Heading into Week 9, the Rams rank 1st in the NFL in 1st downs (186) this season.
• Heading into Week 9, the Rams have suffered the equal-most losses when leading after Q3 this season (3).

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 48