Packers vs Patriots Prediction 11/8/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

Packers vs Patriots Prediction

The Packers and the free points are appealing given they’re an above-average team at their best and aren’t underdogs often. I just don’t like the Packers’ offense and the fact they’re dead last in rushing offense. It’s hard to win games, especially on the road, when you can’t run the ball. The Patriots have found their footing over the last month and have become quite a balanced team.

The Patriots are eighth in both total offense and total defense. This isn’t the spot where the Packers find success on the ground, and it’s probably going to be the reason they lose. I like the Patriots to control the trenches and grind out a victory as they keep pace in the AFC East. I’ll lay the field goal.

Packers Betting Preview

The Packers lost to the Lions, beat the Panthers, and they play the Vikings next. The Packers have won 5 of their last 7 games. Jordan Love is completing 61.5 percent of his passes for 2,246 yards, 16 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Love has been sacked 14 times this season. Christian Watson has 708 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns on 42 receptions. Matthew Golden has 619 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns on 43 receptions. Tucker Kraft has 350 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns on 35 receptions.

The Packers average 80.6 rushing yards, and MarShawn Lloyd leads the team with 149 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, the Packers are allowing 20.5 points and 314.9 total yards per game. The Packers have forced 10 turnovers. Evan Williams leads the Packers with 71 tackles. Lukas Van Ness leads the Packers with 4.5 sacks. Xavier McKinney leads the Packers with 3 interceptions.

Patriots Betting Preview

The Patriots lost to the Bears, beat the Dolphins, and they play the Lions next. The Patriots have won 5 of their last 7 games. Drake Maye is completing 67.1 percent of his passes for 1,983 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. Maye has been sacked 16 times this season. DeMario Douglas has 332 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns on 26 receptions. Hunter Henry has 326 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns on 29 receptions. Romeo Doubs has 261 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns on 14 receptions.

The Patriots average 123.1 rushing yards, and Rhamondre Stevenson leads the team with 367 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, the Patriots are allowing 20.3 points and 309.9 total yards per game. The Patriots have forced 5 turnovers. Christian Elliss leads the Patriots with 60 tackles. Elijah Ponder leads the Patriots with 6 sacks. Charles Woods leads the Patriots with 1 interception.

Packers vs Patriots Injury Report

The Packers will be without Zaire Franklin, Micah Parsons, Travis Glover, Sean Rhyan, and Josh Whyle. MarShawn Lloyd, Keisean Nixon, and Chris Brooks are questionable.

The Patriots are without A.J. Brown due to an ankle injury. TreVeyon Henderson is out with an illness. Kevin Byard, Carlton Davis III, Hunter Henry, Mack Hollins, Morgan Moses, Brenden Schooler, and Greg Van Roten are all questionable.

Why the New England Patriots will win

• The Patriots have won each of their last 15 Sunday games as favorites.
• The Packers have lost nine of their last 10 November road games against AFC opponents.
• The Packers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six day games against AFC opponents.
• The Patriots have covered the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as favorites following a road win.
• The Packers have lost the first half in each of their last four Week 9 games against AFC opponents.
• The Packers have won the first quarter in each of their last three games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).

Why the Green Bay Packers will win

• The Packers have won eight of their last 10 games as underdogs without Jordan Love.
• The Patriots have lost three of their last five games as home favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Packers have covered the spread in each of their last five games without Luke Musgrave.
• The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games following a win.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Patriots’ last nine day games at Gillette Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Packers’ last five games without Luke Musgrave have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eight of the last 10 Sunday games at Gillette Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

New England Patriots Player Prop Facts

• Demario Douglas has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Patriots’ last five games played as favorites on the East Coast.
• Demario Douglas has recorded 49+ receiving yards in five of the Patriots’ last six November games against NFC opponents.
• Rhamondre Stevenson has recorded 62+ rushing yards in each of his four previous November appearances with the Patriots as favorites against NFC opponents.
• Demario Douglas has recorded 49+ rushing and receiving yards in five of the Patriots’ last six November games as favorites.
• Heading into Week 9, Rhamondre Stevenson ranks 5th in the league amongst qualified players for broken tackle percentage (48.0%) this season.

Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts

• Josh Jacobs has scored at least one touchdown in 14 of his last 16 Sunday regular season appearances.
• Josh Jacobs has recorded 65+ rushing yards in each of his seven previous appearances in Week 9 day games.
• Jordan Love has recorded 23+ completions in each of the Packers’ last four games.
• Tyrod Taylor has recorded 172+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances as a starter.
• Jonnu Smith has recorded 20+ receiving yards in each of his last six Sunday appearances at Gillette Stadium.
• Jonnu Smith has recorded 21+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six Sunday appearances at Gillette Stadium.
• Heading into Week 9, Brenton Cox ranks T1st in the league for fumbles recovered (2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Patriots – six different players have recorded 70+ receiving yards in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.
• Patriots – five different players have recorded 80+ receiving yards in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.
• Packers – only team with 2+ players to record 600+ receiving yards this season (Matthew Golden, Christian Watson), heading into Week 9.
• Packers – 11 different players have recorded 1.0 sack or more in a game this season – tied for most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.

Randy Chambers's Pick: New England -3