New England Patriots vs New York Jets Prediction 12/28/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

The New England Patriots and the New York Jets meet Sunday in NFL action from MetLife Stadium. Here’s a Patriots vs Jets prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Patriots vs Jets pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

New England Patriots Betting Preview

The Patriots lost to the Raiders and the Steelers (with a win over the Dolphins) in their first three games. After that came a 10-game win streak over the Panthers, Bills, Saints, Titans, Browns, Falcons, Bucs, Jets, Bengals and Giants, though. Coming out of the bye, the Patriots would take a loss by four points to the rival Bills, giving the team an 11-3 run through the first 14 games of the year.

In the matchup with the Ravens last weekend the Pats were down by four points heading into the final quarter but surged on a 15-7 run from there in a 28-24 comeback win. QB Drake Maye had 380 yards with two scores and a pick on 31-of-44 passing, and Rhamondre Stevenson added eight carries for 51 yards and a score. Stefon Diggs was the top receiver with nine catches for 138 yards in the winning effort.

New York Jets Betting Preview

Over on the Jets’ side, they lost their first seven games versus the Steelers, Bills, Bucs, Dolphins, Cowboys, Broncos and Panthers before finally getting a win over the Bengals. After the bye New York went 2-4 over the next six with wins over the Browns and Falcons among losses to the Patriots, Ravens, Dolphins and Jaguars. The Jets would have a meager 3-11 record through 14 games.

Matched up against the Saints last weekend the Jets could only muster a couple of field goals in the first half, giving up points in every quarter during a 29-6 blowout loss. QB Brady Cook was 22-of-35 for 188 yards and a pick while Breece Hall had 16 carries for 54 yards. Isaiah Davis led the receivers on four catches for 52 yards in the defeat for the Jets.

New England Patriots @ New York Jets Betting Trends: Week 17

Why the New York Jets will win

• The Patriots have lost four of their last five December games as road favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Jets have won eight of their last nine Week 17 home games against AFC opponents.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of the Jets’ last five Week 17 games.
• The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four December games as favorites against AFC East opponents.
• The Jets have won the first quarter in each of their last two games as underdogs against the Patriots.

Why the New England Patriots will win

• The Patriots have won each of their last nine games against the Jets following a win.
• The Jets have lost each of their last seven games without Breece Hall.
• The Patriots have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Jets.
• The Jets have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight December games at MetLife Stadium.
• The Jets have lost the first half in each of their last seven games as home underdogs against AFC East opponents.
• The Patriots have won the first quarter in each of their last three road games against AFC East opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Patriots’ last six Week 17 games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Eight of the Jets’ last nine home games against the Patriots have gone UNDER the total points line.

New York Jets Player Prop Facts

• Tyrod Taylor has recorded 172+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances as a starter.
• Adonai Mitchell has recorded 42+ receiving yards in each of the Jets’ last four games as underdogs following a loss.
• Tyrod Taylor has recorded 32+ rushing yards in each of his four previous home appearances against the Patriots.
• Justin Fields has scored a touchdown in each of his last two appearances against AFC East opponents.
• Breece Hall has recorded 83+ rushing and receiving yards in three of the Jets’ last four games against the Patriots.
• Tyrod Taylor has recorded 19+ completions in three of his last four home appearances as a starter.
• Heading into Week 17, Justin Fields ranks 1st in the AFC for TD:INT ratio (7.00) this season.

New England Patriots Player Prop Facts

• Drake Maye has recorded 259+ passing yards in seven of the Patriots’ last eight games as favorites following a win.
• Stefon Diggs has recorded 48+ receiving yards in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a road favorite against AFC East opponents.
• Rhamondre Stevenson has recorded 30+ rushing yards in 10 of his 11 previous December appearances against AFC opponents.
• Kayshon Boutte has scored at least one touchdown in each of his four previous appearances with the Patriots as favorites following a road win.
• Stefon Diggs has recorded 48+ rushing and receiving yards in 15 of his last 16 road appearances against AFC East opponents.
• Drake Maye has recorded 22+ completions in four of the Patriots’ last five games.
• Heading into Week 17, Drake Maye has the equal-most games with a 100+ passer rating this season (11).

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 17, the Jets rank 32nd in the NFL in passing yards per game (145.9) this season.
• Heading into Week 17, the Jets rank 32nd in the NFL in interceptions (0) this season.
• Patriots – six different players have recorded 80+ receiving yards in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 17.
• Patriots – five different players have recorded 90+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 17.

Patriots vs Jets Prediction

I’ll stay with New England. The Pats put up a pretty nice overall effort against a good Ravens team on the road last weekend, notching 453 total yards and 24 first downs. The Pats did cough up a couple of turnovers and went just 4-of-12 on third-down tries, though. It was a nice bounce-back effort—and a statement win—after the four-point loss to Buffalo the week before. New England has 23 or more points in each of the last 12 games, going 11-1 in that time.

The last time these teams met up back on November 13, the Patriots took a home win 27-14. New England posted 336 yards with 23 first downs and 6-of-12 on third-down tries in that one. The Jets, meanwhile, had just 245 yards, 105 pass yards and 15 first downs. With New York flailing pretty much all season, New England should firmly be in the driver’s seat here.

Andrew Jett's Pick: New England Patriots -13.5